Travis Kelce projections and prop bets for Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs on Nov 10, 2024
Travis Kelce Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 57.5 over: -115
- Receiving Yards 57.5 under: -113
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-focused team in the league (64.6% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Chiefs.
The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to call the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.4 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 61.0 plays per game.
The leading projections forecast Travis Kelce to garner 9.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 100th percentile when it comes to TEs.
Travis Kelce has notched a colossal 58.0 air yards per game this year: 99th percentile among tight ends.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Chiefs, who are a massive favorite by 7.5 points.
Travis Kelce's 55.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season represents a significant diminishment in his receiving prowess over last season's 68.0 rate.
Travis Kelce's 6.7 adjusted yards per target this year signifies a meaningful decline in his receiving prowess over last year's 8.7 mark.
Travis Kelce's 3.40 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year marks a significant decrease in his effectiveness in the open field over last year's 4.8% mark.
The Broncos defense has conceded the 7th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 41.0) versus TEs this year.
Projection For Travis Kelce Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Travis Kelce is projected to have 58 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
