Jay Sanin on December 19, 2024
Javonte Williams projections and prop bets for Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers on Dec 19, 2024
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are forecasted by the projection model to call 66.0 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.
The Broncos have been the 7th-least run-focused team in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 36.6% run rate.
The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
After accounting for 53.4% of his team's run game usage last year, Javonte Williams has been less involved in the run game this year, now taking on just 38.1%.
As it relates to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Los Angeles's group of safeties has been great this year, grading out as the 8th-best in football.
Javonte Williams is projected to have 12.1 Carries in this weeks game.
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are forecasted by the projection model to call 66.0 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.
The Los Angeles Chargers defense owns the 10th-worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, giving up 4.70 adjusted yards-per-carry.
The Broncos have been the 7th-least run-focused team in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 36.6% run rate.
The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
After accounting for 53.4% of his team's run game usage last year, Javonte Williams has been less involved in the run game this year, now taking on just 38.1%.
Javonte Williams has rushed for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (34.0) this season than he did last season (49.0).
Javonte Williams's ground efficiency (3.62 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL this year (9th percentile when it comes to RBs).
Javonte Williams is projected to have 46.5 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
The Broncos have been the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 63.4% pass rate.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are forecasted by the projection model to call 66.0 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.
The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Javonte Williams's 44.1% Route Participation Rate this year represents a noteworthy improvement in his passing game volume over last year's 29.4% rate.
The projections expect Javonte Williams to earn 4.5 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 91st percentile when it comes to RBs.
Javonte Williams's sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 84.7% to 79.3%.
The Chargers pass defense has conceded the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (77.7%) versus running backs this year (77.7%).
The Chargers safeties rank as the 4th-best unit in the league this year in pass coverage.
Javonte Williams is projected to have 3 Receptions in this weeks game.
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
The Broncos have been the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 63.4% pass rate.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are forecasted by the projection model to call 66.0 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.
The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Javonte Williams's 44.1% Route Participation Rate this year represents a noteworthy improvement in his passing game volume over last year's 29.4% rate.
The projections expect Javonte Williams to earn 4.5 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 91st percentile when it comes to RBs.
Javonte Williams's sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 84.7% to 79.3%.
With a feeble 5.1 adjusted yards per target (24th percentile) this year, Javonte Williams has been among the worst pass-game running backs in the NFL.
The Chargers pass defense has conceded the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (77.7%) versus running backs this year (77.7%).
This year, the fierce Los Angeles Chargers defense has given up the 2nd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing running backs: a meager 4.8 yards.
The Chargers safeties rank as the 4th-best unit in the league this year in pass coverage.
Javonte Williams is projected to have 19.1 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
