Sam Darnold projections and prop bets for Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings on Oct 20, 2024
Sam Darnold Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 3.5 over: -145
- Carries 3.5 under: 115
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
The model projects this game to see the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 130.4 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
After accounting for 0.0% of his offense's rushing play calls last year, Sam Darnold has had a larger role in the run game this year, currently comprising 9.5%.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Vikings to run on 37.1% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
The Minnesota Vikings have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 52.6 plays per game.
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.
The Lions safeties project as the 4th-best safety corps in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.
Projection For Sam Darnold Carries Prop Bet
Sam Darnold is projected to have 3.1 Carries in this weeks game.
Sam Darnold Player Prop Bet: Completions
Completions Prop Bet Odds:
- Completions 21.5 over: -128
- Completions 21.5 under: -102
Trends Favoring The Over Completions Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The model projects this game to see the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 130.4 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.
In this game, Sam Darnold is forecasted by the predictive model to total the 7th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 37.5.
The Lions defense has been something of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (42.2 per game) this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Completions Prop Bet
The Minnesota Vikings have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 52.6 plays per game.
Sam Darnold's throwing precision has worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 67.1% to 64.1%.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest level in the NFL versus the Lions defense this year (65.1% Adjusted Completion%).
The Lions safeties grade out as the best safety corps in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.
Projection For Sam Darnold Completions Prop Bet
Sam Darnold is projected to have 22.6 Completions in this weeks game.
Sam Darnold Player Prop Bet: Interceptions
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Interceptions 0.5 over: -130
- Interceptions 0.5 under: 100
Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The model projects this game to see the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 130.4 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.
In this game, Sam Darnold is forecasted by the predictive model to total the 7th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 37.5.
The Lions defense has been something of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (42.2 per game) this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet
The Minnesota Vikings have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 52.6 plays per game.
Detroit's defense grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year as it relates to producing interceptions, compiling 1.41 per game.
The Lions safeties grade out as the best safety corps in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.
Projection For Sam Darnold Interceptions Prop Bet
Sam Darnold is projected to have 0.6 Interceptions in this weeks game.
Sam Darnold Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 13.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 13.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The model projects this game to see the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 130.4 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
After accounting for 0.0% of his offense's rushing play calls last year, Sam Darnold has had a larger role in the run game this year, currently comprising 9.5%.
Sam Darnold's 14.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season reflects a remarkable boost in his rushing proficiency over last season's 3.0 rate.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Vikings to run on 37.1% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
The Minnesota Vikings have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 52.6 plays per game.
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.
Sam Darnold rates as one of the worst QBs in the NFL at generating extra rushing yardage, averaging a lowly 0.11 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 3rd percentile.
Since the start of last season, the poor Detroit Lions run defense has been gouged for a massive 3.81 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's rushing attack: the 31st-largest rate in the league.
Projection For Sam Darnold Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Sam Darnold is projected to have 12.6 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Sam Darnold Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: -132
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: 102
Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect the Vikings to be the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 58.0% red zone pass rate.
The model projects this game to see the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 130.4 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.
The Lions defense has been something of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (42.2 per game) this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
The Minnesota Vikings have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 52.6 plays per game.
Sam Darnold's throwing precision has worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 67.1% to 64.1%.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest level in the NFL versus the Lions defense this year (65.1% Adjusted Completion%).
This year, the formidable Detroit Lions defense has conceded a meager 0.80 passing touchdowns per game to opposing QBs: the 4th-lowest rate in football.
The Lions safeties grade out as the best safety corps in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.
Projection For Sam Darnold Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Sam Darnold is projected to have 2.1 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
Sam Darnold Player Prop Bet: Pass Attempts
Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:
- Pass Attempts 34.5 over: 100
- Pass Attempts 34.5 under: -130
Trends Favoring The Over Pass Attempts Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The model projects this game to see the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 130.4 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.
In this game, Sam Darnold is forecasted by the predictive model to total the 7th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 37.5.
The Lions defense has been something of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (42.2 per game) this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Pass Attempts Prop Bet
The Minnesota Vikings have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 52.6 plays per game.
Projection For Sam Darnold Pass Attempts Prop Bet
Sam Darnold is projected to have 35.9 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.
Sam Darnold Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Passing Yards 261.5 over: -110
- Passing Yards 261.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The model projects this game to see the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 130.4 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.
In this game, Sam Darnold is forecasted by the predictive model to total the 7th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 37.5.
The Lions defense has been something of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (42.2 per game) this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet
The Minnesota Vikings have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 52.6 plays per game.
Sam Darnold's throwing precision has worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 67.1% to 64.1%.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest level in the NFL versus the Lions defense this year (65.1% Adjusted Completion%).
The Lions pass defense has displayed good efficiency this year, allowing 6.57 adjusted yards-per-target: the 3rd-fewest in football.
The Lions safeties grade out as the best safety corps in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.
Projection For Sam Darnold Passing Yards Prop Bet
Sam Darnold is projected to have 281.6 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
