Rhamondre Stevenson NFL Week 4 projections and prop bets for New England Patriots at San Francisco 49ers on Sep 29, 2024
Rhamondre Stevenson Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 55.5 over: 100
- Rushing Yards 55.5 under: -135
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The predictive model expects the New England Patriots to be the 4th-most run-focused offense in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 44.6% run rate.
The predictive model expects Rhamondre Stevenson to accumulate 16.9 carries in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 90th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Rhamondre Stevenson has been a more important option in his team's ground game this season (65.8% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (51.2%).
With an excellent rate of 56.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (83rd percentile), Rhamondre Stevenson places among the best pure runners in football since the start of last season.
With an impressive tally of 3.58 yards after contact (79th percentile), Rhamondre Stevenson ranks as one of the unyielding RBs in the league this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
An extreme passing game script is implied by the Patriots being a big -11.5-point underdog in this game.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see only 122.5 total plays called: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.
The New England Patriots have run the 7th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a measly 56.3 plays per game.
Since the start of last season, the daunting 49ers run defense has conceded a puny 90.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the 2nd-best in football.
As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, San Francisco's LB corps has been phenomenal since the start of last season, ranking as the 5th-best in football.
Projection For Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Rhamondre Stevenson is projected to have 66.8 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
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Rhamondre Stevenson Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 13.5 over: -121
- Receiving Yards 13.5 under: -113
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
An extreme passing game script is implied by the Patriots being a big -11.5-point underdog in this game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game vs. the 49ers defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the NFL.
Rhamondre Stevenson has run a route on 55.1% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to running backs.
In this contest, Rhamondre Stevenson is anticipated by the predictive model to rank in the 76th percentile among RBs with 3.0 targets.
When talking about air yards, Rhamondre Stevenson ranks in the towering 79th percentile among RBs since the start of last season, accumulating an impressive 1.0 per game. (due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more notable than it appears since most RBs average negative air yards).
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to be the 4th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 55.4% pass rate.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see only 122.5 total plays called: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.
The New England Patriots have run the 7th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a measly 56.3 plays per game.
When it comes to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the New England Patriots grades out as the 6th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.
With a lackluster 4.8 adjusted yards per target (22nd percentile) since the start of last season, Rhamondre Stevenson places as one of the worst running backs in the pass game in football.
Projection For Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Rhamondre Stevenson is projected to have 14.4 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
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