Pat Freiermuth projections and prop bets for New York Jets at Pittsburgh Steelers on Oct 20, 2024
Pat Freiermuth Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 29.5 over: -135
- Receiving Yards 29.5 under: 105
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may slide.
The model projects Pat Freiermuth to accumulate 4.8 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to tight ends.
As it relates to air yards, Pat Freiermuth ranks in the towering 82nd percentile among TEs this year, averaging a remarkable 22.0 per game.
Pat Freiermuth has been one of the leading pass-catching TEs this year, averaging a remarkable 34.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 83rd percentile.
Pat Freiermuth's ball-catching skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 73.2% to 88.3%.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The predictive model expects the Steelers as the 4th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 51.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to see only 126.4 total plays called: the 5th-lowest number out of all the games this week.
Opposing QBs teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Jets, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 30.7 per game) this year.
Pat Freiermuth has been a more important option in his team's offense this season, staying on the field for 75.6% of snaps compared to just 62.5% last season.
The Jets defense has yielded the 2nd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 30.0) versus TEs this year.
Projection For Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Pat Freiermuth is projected to have 31.7 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Pat Freiermuth Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 2.5 over: -210
- Receptions 2.5 under: 160
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may slide.
The model projects Pat Freiermuth to accumulate 4.8 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to tight ends.
Pat Freiermuth is positioned as one of the best TEs in the pass game this year, averaging an impressive 3.7 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 88th percentile.
Pat Freiermuth's ball-catching skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 73.2% to 88.3%.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
The predictive model expects the Steelers as the 4th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 51.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to see only 126.4 total plays called: the 5th-lowest number out of all the games this week.
Opposing QBs teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Jets, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 30.7 per game) this year.
Pat Freiermuth has been a more important option in his team's offense this season, staying on the field for 75.6% of snaps compared to just 62.5% last season.
As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, New York's unit has been excellent this year, profiling as the best in the league.
Projection For Pat Freiermuth Receptions Prop Bet
Pat Freiermuth is projected to have 3.1 Receptions in this weeks game.
