Pat Freiermuth NFL Week 4 projections and prop bets for Pittsburgh Steelers at Indianapolis Colts on Sep 29, 2024
Pat Freiermuth Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 28.5 over: -113
- Receiving Yards 28.5 under: -115
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are predicted by the model to call 65.3 total plays in this contest: the 8th-highest number among all teams this week.
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.
With a remarkable 71.0% Route Participation Rate (87th percentile) since the start of last season, Pat Freiermuth rates among the tight ends with the highest volume in the NFL.
The projections expect Pat Freiermuth to notch 5.1 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 91st percentile when it comes to TEs.
Pat Freiermuth has accumulated a massive 25.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 78th percentile when it comes to TEs.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Steelers to pass on 49.8% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense since the start of last season: 10th-fewest in the NFL.
When talking about pass protection (and the significance it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Steelers grades out as the 4th-worst in the league since the start of last season.
This year, the stout Indianapolis Colts pass defense has given up the 4th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing tight ends: a feeble 2.8 YAC.
Projection For Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Pat Freiermuth is projected to have 36.4 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Pat Freiermuth Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 3.5 over: 130
- Receptions 3.5 under: -175
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are predicted by the model to call 65.3 total plays in this contest: the 8th-highest number among all teams this week.
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.
With a remarkable 71.0% Route Participation Rate (87th percentile) since the start of last season, Pat Freiermuth rates among the tight ends with the highest volume in the NFL.
The projections expect Pat Freiermuth to notch 5.1 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 91st percentile when it comes to TEs.
The Colts pass defense has yielded the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (76.6%) versus TEs since the start of last season (76.6%).
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Steelers to pass on 49.8% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense since the start of last season: 10th-fewest in the NFL.
When talking about pass protection (and the significance it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Steelers grades out as the 4th-worst in the league since the start of last season.
Projection For Pat Freiermuth Receptions Prop Bet
Pat Freiermuth is projected to have 3.3 Receptions in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
