Mo Alie-Cox projections and prop bets for Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts on Oct 20, 2024
Mo Alie-Cox Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 8.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 8.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The model projects the Colts to call the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.6 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
After accruing 10.0 air yards per game last season, Mo Alie-Cox has shown good development this season, currently sitting at 17.0 per game.
The Indianapolis O-line profiles as the best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
Mo Alie-Cox's 23.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season indicates a material boost in his receiving proficiency over last season's 12.0 mark.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
This game's spread implies a running game script for the Colts, who are favored by 3 points.
The model projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 61.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Colts have run the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.0 plays per game.
Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Dolphins, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 28.4 per game) this year.
The Dolphins pass defense has surrendered the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (64.5%) to TEs this year (64.5%).
Projection For Mo Alie-Cox Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Mo Alie-Cox is projected to have 16.4 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Mo Alie-Cox Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 1.5 over: 170
- Receptions 1.5 under: -220
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The model projects the Colts to call the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.6 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
The Indianapolis O-line profiles as the best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
Mo Alie-Cox's 76.7% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a substantial growth in his receiving skills over last year's 58.1% mark.
The Dolphins linebackers profile as the 5th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in defending receivers.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
This game's spread implies a running game script for the Colts, who are favored by 3 points.
The model projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 61.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Colts have run the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.0 plays per game.
Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Dolphins, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 28.4 per game) this year.
The Dolphins pass defense has surrendered the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (64.5%) to TEs this year (64.5%).
Projection For Mo Alie-Cox Receptions Prop Bet
Mo Alie-Cox is projected to have 1.4 Receptions in this weeks game.
