Jay Sanin on December 1, 2024
Michael Pittman projections and prop bets for Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots on Dec 1, 2024
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts offense to be the 2nd-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 25.45 seconds per snap.
In this week's contest, Michael Pittman is expected by the predictive model to place in the 84th percentile among wide receivers with 7.8 targets.
The projections expect Michael Pittman to be a much bigger part of his team's air attack this week (28.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (23.1% in games he has played).
The Indianapolis O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
This year, the shaky New England Patriots pass defense has been gouged for a whopping 68.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 6th-largest rate in football.
The projections expect the Colts as the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 48.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Michael Pittman's 3.7 adjusted catches per game this year reflects a noteworthy decline in his receiving skills over last year's 6.7 rate.
Michael Pittman's 59.2% Adjusted Catch% this season signifies a significant decline in his pass-catching ability over last season's 71.7% mark.
Michael Pittman is projected to have 4.4 Receptions in this weeks game.
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts offense to be the 2nd-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 25.45 seconds per snap.
In this week's contest, Michael Pittman is expected by the predictive model to place in the 84th percentile among wide receivers with 7.8 targets.
The projections expect Michael Pittman to be a much bigger part of his team's air attack this week (28.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (23.1% in games he has played).
Michael Pittman has posted a colossal 75.0 air yards per game this year: 83rd percentile among wideouts.
This year, the shaky New England Patriots pass defense has been gouged for a whopping 68.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 6th-largest rate in football.
The projections expect the Colts as the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 48.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Michael Pittman's 47.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season shows a significant regression in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 72.0 figure.
Michael Pittman's 59.2% Adjusted Catch% this season signifies a significant decline in his pass-catching ability over last season's 71.7% mark.
Michael Pittman is projected to have 52 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
