Matthew Stafford NFL Week 4 projections and prop bets for Los Angeles Rams at Chicago Bears on Sep 29, 2024
Matthew Stafford Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Passing Yards 211.5 over: -113
- Passing Yards 211.5 under: -115
Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the Rams as the 8th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 59.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the projections to have 131.5 offensive plays run: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.
The 8th-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Rams since the start of last season (a massive 59.7 per game on average).
This week, Matthew Stafford is expected by the predictive model to average the 9th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 35.3.
Opposing teams have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet
The Rams have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which should result in reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing offense effectiveness when facing windier weather this week.
Matthew Stafford's 6.18 adjusted yards-per-target this season represents a material decrease in his throwing effectiveness over last season's 7.5% mark.
When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Chicago's unit has been terrific since the start of last season, grading out as the 10th-best in football.
Projection For Matthew Stafford Passing Yards Prop Bet
Matthew Stafford is projected to have 217.9 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Matthew Stafford Player Prop Bet: Pass Attempts
Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:
- Pass Attempts 31.5 over: -125
- Pass Attempts 31.5 under: -105
Trends Favoring The Over Pass Attempts Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the Rams as the 8th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 59.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the projections to have 131.5 offensive plays run: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.
The 8th-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Rams since the start of last season (a massive 59.7 per game on average).
This week, Matthew Stafford is expected by the predictive model to average the 9th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 35.3.
Opposing teams have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Pass Attempts Prop Bet
The Rams have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which should result in reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing offense effectiveness when facing windier weather this week.
Projection For Matthew Stafford Pass Attempts Prop Bet
Matthew Stafford is projected to have 33.3 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Matthew Stafford Player Prop Bet: Interceptions
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Interceptions 0.5 over: -139
- Interceptions 0.5 under: 102
Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the Rams as the 8th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 59.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the projections to have 131.5 offensive plays run: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.
The 8th-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Rams since the start of last season (a massive 59.7 per game on average).
This week, Matthew Stafford is expected by the predictive model to average the 9th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 35.3.
Opposing teams have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet
The Rams have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which should result in reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing offense effectiveness when facing windier weather this week.
The Chicago Bears have intercepted 1.25 balls per game since the start of last season, ranking as the best defense in the NFL by this stat.
When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Chicago's unit has been terrific since the start of last season, grading out as the 10th-best in football.
Projection For Matthew Stafford Interceptions Prop Bet
Matthew Stafford is projected to have 1.7 Interceptions in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Matthew Stafford Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: 165
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -225
Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the Rams as the 8th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 59.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the projections to have 131.5 offensive plays run: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.
The 8th-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Rams since the start of last season (a massive 59.7 per game on average).
Opposing teams have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in football.
Matthew Stafford's passing accuracy has improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 62.4% to 69.6%.
Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
The Rams have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which should result in reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing offense effectiveness when facing windier weather this week.
When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Chicago's unit has been terrific since the start of last season, grading out as the 10th-best in football.
Projection For Matthew Stafford Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Matthew Stafford is projected to have 1.3 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Matthew Stafford Player Prop Bet: Completions
Completions Prop Bet Odds:
- Completions 20.5 over: 105
- Completions 20.5 under: -135
Trends Favoring The Over Completions Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the Rams as the 8th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 59.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the projections to have 131.5 offensive plays run: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.
The 8th-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Rams since the start of last season (a massive 59.7 per game on average).
Opposing teams have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in football.
Matthew Stafford's passing accuracy has improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 62.4% to 69.6%.
Trends Favoring The Under Completions Prop Bet
The Rams have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which should result in reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing offense effectiveness when facing windier weather this week.
When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Chicago's unit has been terrific since the start of last season, grading out as the 10th-best in football.
Projection For Matthew Stafford Completions Prop Bet
Matthew Stafford is projected to have 20.7 Completions in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
