Lamar Jackson NFL Week 4 projections and prop bets for Buffalo Bills at Baltimore Ravens on Sep 29, 2024
Lamar Jackson Player Prop Bet: Completions
Completions Prop Bet Odds:
- Completions 18.5 over: -140
- Completions 18.5 under: 105
Trends Favoring The Over Completions Prop Bet
The Ravens offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all pass game stats across the board.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 8th-highest rate in football versus the Buffalo Bills defense since the start of last season (72.2% Adjusted Completion%).
Trends Favoring The Under Completions Prop Bet
A rushing game script is implied by the Ravens being a 3-point favorite in this game.
The predictive model expects the Ravens as the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 48.0% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to see just 122.0 total plays run: the fewest on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast Lamar Jackson to throw 26.3 passes in this contest, on average: the 4th-fewest among all QBs.
Lamar Jackson's 64.1% Adjusted Completion% this season shows a substantial decline in his passing accuracy over last season's 68.1% figure.
Projection For Lamar Jackson Completions Prop Bet
Lamar Jackson is projected to have 16.7 Completions in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Lamar Jackson Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 57.5 over: -114
- Rushing Yards 57.5 under: -114
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
A rushing game script is implied by the Ravens being a 3-point favorite in this game.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens to run on 52.0% of their plays: the greatest rate on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects Lamar Jackson to accumulate 10.6 carries this week, on average: the most out of all QBs.
Lamar Jackson has averaged 57.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the highest figures in the league among QBs (100th percentile).
The Bills defense owns the 8th-worst efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, yielding 4.62 adjusted yards-per-carry.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to see just 122.0 total plays run: the fewest on the slate this week.
Projection For Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Lamar Jackson is projected to have 68.5 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Lamar Jackson Player Prop Bet: Pass Attempts
Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:
- Pass Attempts 29.5 over: -114
- Pass Attempts 29.5 under: -114
Trends Favoring The Over Pass Attempts Prop Bet
Trends Favoring The Under Pass Attempts Prop Bet
A rushing game script is implied by the Ravens being a 3-point favorite in this game.
The predictive model expects the Ravens as the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 48.0% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to see just 122.0 total plays run: the fewest on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast Lamar Jackson to throw 26.3 passes in this contest, on average: the 4th-fewest among all QBs.
Projection For Lamar Jackson Pass Attempts Prop Bet
Lamar Jackson is projected to have 26.4 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Lamar Jackson Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 9.5 over: -100
- Carries 9.5 under: -130
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
A rushing game script is implied by the Ravens being a 3-point favorite in this game.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens to run on 52.0% of their plays: the greatest rate on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects Lamar Jackson to accumulate 10.6 carries this week, on average: the most out of all QBs.
Lamar Jackson isn't afraid to run the ball, comprising 34.4% of his team's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile among QBs.
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Buffalo's collection of DTs has been dreadful since the start of last season, projecting as the 10th-worst in the league. in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to see just 122.0 total plays run: the fewest on the slate this week.
Projection For Lamar Jackson Carries Prop Bet
Lamar Jackson is projected to have 10.8 Carries in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Lamar Jackson Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Passing Yards 201.5 over: -120
- Passing Yards 201.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet
The Ravens offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all pass game stats across the board.
Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet
A rushing game script is implied by the Ravens being a 3-point favorite in this game.
The predictive model expects the Ravens as the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 48.0% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to see just 122.0 total plays run: the fewest on the slate this week.
Lamar Jackson's 64.1% Adjusted Completion% this season shows a substantial decline in his passing accuracy over last season's 68.1% figure.
Opposing teams have passed for the 9th-fewest yards in the NFL (just 211.0 adjusted yards per game) versus the Bills defense since the start of last season.
Projection For Lamar Jackson Passing Yards Prop Bet
Lamar Jackson is projected to have 176.8 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Lamar Jackson Player Prop Bet: Interceptions
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Interceptions 0.5 over: -106
- Interceptions 0.5 under: -122
Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet
The Ravens offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all pass game stats across the board.
Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet
A rushing game script is implied by the Ravens being a 3-point favorite in this game.
The predictive model expects the Ravens as the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 48.0% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to see just 122.0 total plays run: the fewest on the slate this week.
Lamar Jackson has tallied a lowly 0.45 interceptions per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 83rd percentile among QBs.
Buffalo's defense profiles as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season when it comes to causing interceptions, totaling 1.00 per game.
Projection For Lamar Jackson Interceptions Prop Bet
Lamar Jackson is projected to have 0.5 Interceptions in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Lamar Jackson Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: 150
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -200
Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
The Ravens offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all pass game stats across the board.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 8th-highest rate in football versus the Buffalo Bills defense since the start of last season (72.2% Adjusted Completion%).
Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
A rushing game script is implied by the Ravens being a 3-point favorite in this game.
The predictive model expects the Ravens as the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 48.0% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to be the 9th-least pass-centric team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 50.1% red zone pass rate.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to see just 122.0 total plays run: the fewest on the slate this week.
Lamar Jackson's 64.1% Adjusted Completion% this season shows a substantial decline in his passing accuracy over last season's 68.1% figure.
Projection For Lamar Jackson Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Lamar Jackson is projected to have 1.3 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
