Kyren Williams projections and prop bets for Miami Dolphins at Los Angeles Rams on Nov 11, 2024
Kyren Williams Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 2.5 over: -102
- Receptions 2.5 under: -128
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to be the 7th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 60.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The leading projections forecast Kyren Williams to accumulate 3.2 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 76th percentile when it comes to running backs.
With an exceptional 2.5 adjusted receptions per game (77th percentile) this year, Kyren Williams has been as one of the top RBs in the pass game in football.
Kyren Williams's 83.6% Adjusted Completion Rate this year conveys a significant boost in his pass-catching ability over last year's 68.1% rate.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to test the pass defense of the Dolphins, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.8 per game) this year.
Kyren Williams's 12.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 17.5.
As it relates to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year.
Projection For Kyren Williams Receptions Prop Bet
Kyren Williams is projected to have 2.1 Receptions in this weeks game.
Kyren Williams Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 20.5 over: -107
- Carries 20.5 under: -121
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
This week, Kyren Williams is projected by the projection model to land in the 100th percentile among running backs with 20.4 carries.
Kyren Williams has been a more integral piece of his offense's rushing attack this season (83.2% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (72.9%).
The Dolphins linebackers rank as the 5th-worst group of LBs in football this year in regard to run defense.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Rams to run on 39.9% of their chances: the 7th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Projection For Kyren Williams Carries Prop Bet
Kyren Williams is projected to have 18 Carries in this weeks game.
Kyren Williams Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 83.5 over: -114
- Rushing Yards 83.5 under: -114
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
This week, Kyren Williams is projected by the projection model to land in the 100th percentile among running backs with 20.4 carries.
Kyren Williams has been a more integral piece of his offense's rushing attack this season (83.2% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (72.9%).
The Dolphins linebackers rank as the 5th-worst group of LBs in football this year in regard to run defense.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Rams to run on 39.9% of their chances: the 7th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Kyren Williams has rushed for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (81.0) this season than he did last season (99.0).
Kyren Williams's 4.0 adjusted yards per carry this season illustrates a meaningful diminishment in his rushing proficiency over last season's 5.2 rate.
Kyren Williams profiles as one of the worst RBs in the league at picking up extra running yardage, averaging a mere 2.49 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 11th percentile.
Projection For Kyren Williams Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Kyren Williams is projected to have 84.5 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Kyren Williams Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 13.5 over: -125
- Receiving Yards 13.5 under: -105
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to be the 7th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 60.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The leading projections forecast Kyren Williams to accumulate 3.2 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 76th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Kyren Williams rates as one of the top pass-game running backs this year, averaging a terrific 16.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 75th percentile.
Kyren Williams's 83.6% Adjusted Completion Rate this year conveys a significant boost in his pass-catching ability over last year's 68.1% rate.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to test the pass defense of the Dolphins, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.8 per game) this year.
When talking about air yards, Kyren Williams grades out in just the 7th percentile among running backs this year, accruing just -5.0 per game.
Kyren Williams's 12.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 17.5.
As it relates to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year.
Kyren Williams's 5.95 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year indicates an impressive decrease in his efficiency in the open field over last year's 8.6% mark.
Projection For Kyren Williams Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Kyren Williams is projected to have 15.3 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
