Kyren Williams NFL Week 4 projections and prop bets for Los Angeles Rams at Chicago Bears on Sep 29, 2024
Kyren Williams Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 2.5 over: -143
- Receptions 2.5 under: 110
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the Rams as the 8th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 59.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the projections to have 131.5 offensive plays run: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.
The 8th-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Rams since the start of last season (a massive 59.7 per game on average).
Opposing teams have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in football.
With an extraordinary 67.6% Route Participation% (97th percentile) since the start of last season, Kyren Williams rates as one of the RB receiving threats with the biggest workloads in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
The Rams have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which should result in reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing offense effectiveness when facing windier weather this week.
With a lackluster 70.1% Adjusted Completion Rate (7th percentile) since the start of last season, Kyren Williams stands as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the league when it comes to running backs.
When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Chicago's unit has been terrific since the start of last season, grading out as the 10th-best in football.
Projection For Kyren Williams Receptions Prop Bet
Kyren Williams is projected to have 2.7 Receptions in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Kyren Williams Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 18.5 over: -100
- Carries 18.5 under: -130
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the projections to have 131.5 offensive plays run: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.
The 8th-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Rams since the start of last season (a massive 59.7 per game on average).
The Rams have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which should result in reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing offense effectiveness when facing windier weather this week.
This week, Kyren Williams is predicted by the model to rank in the 99th percentile among RBs with 20.9 carries.
Kyren Williams has been much more involved in his offense's rushing attack this year (87.9% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (72.9%).
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Rams to run on 40.5% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
Projection For Kyren Williams Carries Prop Bet
Kyren Williams is projected to have 18.5 Carries in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Kyren Williams Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 14.5 over: -140
- Receiving Yards 14.5 under: 110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the Rams as the 8th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 59.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the projections to have 131.5 offensive plays run: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.
The 8th-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Rams since the start of last season (a massive 59.7 per game on average).
Opposing teams have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in football.
With an extraordinary 67.6% Route Participation% (97th percentile) since the start of last season, Kyren Williams rates as one of the RB receiving threats with the biggest workloads in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The Rams have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which should result in reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing offense effectiveness when facing windier weather this week.
With a lackluster 70.1% Adjusted Completion Rate (7th percentile) since the start of last season, Kyren Williams stands as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the league when it comes to running backs.
Kyren Williams comes in as one of the least efficient receivers in the league when it comes to running backs, averaging a mere 4.64 adjusted yards-per-target since the start of last season while checking in at the 15th percentile.
When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Chicago's unit has been terrific since the start of last season, grading out as the 10th-best in football.
Projection For Kyren Williams Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Kyren Williams is projected to have 19 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Kyren Williams Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 75.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 75.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the projections to have 131.5 offensive plays run: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.
The 8th-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Rams since the start of last season (a massive 59.7 per game on average).
The Rams have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which should result in reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing offense effectiveness when facing windier weather this week.
This week, Kyren Williams is predicted by the model to rank in the 99th percentile among RBs with 20.9 carries.
Kyren Williams has been much more involved in his offense's rushing attack this year (87.9% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (72.9%).
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Rams to run on 40.5% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
Kyren Williams's running effectiveness has declined this year, compiling just 3.50 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 5.20 figure last year.
Kyren Williams's 2.13 yards-after-contact this season conveys a noteworthy decrease in his running proficiency over last season's 3.27 rate.
Opposing squads have rushed for the 3rd-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 92.0 per game) vs. the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season.
Projection For Kyren Williams Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Kyren Williams is projected to have 90.9 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
