Kyler Murray NFL Week 4 projections and prop bets for Washington Commanders at Arizona Cardinals on Sep 29, 2024

Kyler Murray Player Prop Bet: Interceptions

Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Interceptions 0.5 over: -105
  • Interceptions 0.5 under: -125

Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet

The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

Opposing QBs have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Commanders defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the league.

The Commanders have intercepted 0.42 passes per game since the start of last season, ranking as the 2nd-worst defense in football by this statistic

When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Washington's CB corps has been terrible since the start of last season, profiling as the 2nd-worst in the league.

Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet

The projections expect the Arizona Cardinals as the 11th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 56.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the Cardinals to run the 6th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

In throwing a mere 0.51 interceptions per game since the start of last season, Kyler Murray stands among the best quarterbacks in football (78th percentile).

Projection For Kyler Murray Interceptions Prop Bet

Kyler Murray is projected to have 0.8 Interceptions in this weeks game.


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Kyler Murray Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards

Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Rushing Yards 34.5 over: -114
  • Rushing Yards 34.5 under: -114

Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Our trusted projections expect Kyler Murray to total 5.8 carries in this week's game, on average: the 7th-most out of all quarterbacks.

Kyler Murray isn't afraid to take off running, taking on 20.3% of his offense's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 80th percentile among quarterbacks.

With an outstanding tally of 36.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (95th percentile), Kyler Murray stands among the top running quarterbacks in the league since the start of last season.

Kyler Murray's 10.56 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season illustrates an impressive progression in his running skills over last season's 6.11 rate.

The Washington Commanders defense has had the 5th-worst efficiency against opposing ground games since the start of last season, allowing 4.75 adjusted yards-per-carry.

Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet

The predictive model expects the Cardinals to run the 6th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

The Washington Commanders linebackers rank as the 2nd-best LB corps in the league since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

Projection For Kyler Murray Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Kyler Murray is projected to have 30.4 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.


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Kyler Murray Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes

Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:

  • Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: -143
  • Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: 110

Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

Opposing QBs have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Commanders defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the league.

Since the start of last season, the poor Commanders defense has allowed a colossal 2.40 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing offenses: the worst rate in the league.

When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Washington's CB corps has been terrible since the start of last season, profiling as the 2nd-worst in the league.

Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

The projections expect the Arizona Cardinals as the 11th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 56.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the 10th-least pass-focused offense in football near the end zone (50.3% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Arizona Cardinals.

The predictive model expects the Cardinals to run the 6th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

Projection For Kyler Murray Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

Kyler Murray is projected to have 1.4 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.


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Kyler Murray Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards

Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Passing Yards 230.5 over: -114
  • Passing Yards 230.5 under: -114

Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet

The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

Opposing QBs have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Commanders defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the league.

Since the start of last season, the deficient Washington Commanders defense has been torched for a massive 254.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing teams: the most in the league.

Since the start of last season, the feeble Commanders defense has given up the 2nd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing squads: a staggering 8.54 yards.

When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Washington's CB corps has been terrible since the start of last season, profiling as the 2nd-worst in the league.

Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet

The projections expect the Arizona Cardinals as the 11th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 56.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the Cardinals to run the 6th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

Projection For Kyler Murray Passing Yards Prop Bet

Kyler Murray is projected to have 249.6 Passing Yards in this weeks game.


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