Miami Dolphins

Miami Dolphins

Nov 3, 2024

Buffalo Bills

Buffalo Bills
  • Overview
  • Props

Khalil Shakir Projections & Prop Bets

Khalil Shakir projections and prop bets for Tennessee Titans at Buffalo Bills on Oct 20, 2024

Khalil Shakir Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receiving Yards 34.5 over: -110
  • Receiving Yards 34.5 under: -120

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Khalil Shakir has been a much bigger part of his team's passing attack this season (17.8% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (7.8%).

Khalil Shakir's 51.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year signifies a noteworthy improvement in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 36.0 figure.

Khalil Shakir's 96.6% Adjusted Catch% this year illustrates a meaningful improvement in his receiving ability over last year's 86.7% figure.

With an excellent 12.0 adjusted yards per target (99th percentile) this year, Khalil Shakir places as one of the leading pass-catching wide receivers in the NFL.

Khalil Shakir has been one of the top wide receivers in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging an impressive 7.35 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 93rd percentile.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are a huge favorite by 9.5 points.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills to pass on 50.6% of their chances: the lowest clip on the slate this week.

The model projects this game to see the smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 121.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 51.7 plays per game.

Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Tennessee Titans, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 28.2 per game) this year.

Projection For Khalil Shakir Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Khalil Shakir is projected to have 42.9 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.


Khalil Shakir Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receptions 3.5 over: 145
  • Receptions 3.5 under: -180

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

Khalil Shakir has been a much bigger part of his team's passing attack this season (17.8% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (7.8%).

Khalil Shakir's receiving talent has improved this season, compiling 4.1 adjusted catches vs a measly 2.4 last season.

Khalil Shakir's 96.6% Adjusted Catch% this year illustrates a meaningful improvement in his receiving ability over last year's 86.7% figure.

The Titans cornerbacks grade out as the 7th-worst group of CBs in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are a huge favorite by 9.5 points.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills to pass on 50.6% of their chances: the lowest clip on the slate this week.

The model projects this game to see the smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 121.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 51.7 plays per game.

Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Tennessee Titans, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 28.2 per game) this year.

Projection For Khalil Shakir Receptions Prop Bet

Khalil Shakir is projected to have 3.5 Receptions in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Total Receptions
  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
  • Longest Reception
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • To Record a 30+ Yard Reception
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Total Receptions
  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
  • Longest Reception
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • To Record a 30+ Yard Reception
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-
+900
-
+1000
Consensus
-
+490
-
+500
Consensus
-328
+192
-310
+204
Consensus
-
+800
-
+850
Consensus
-
+750
-
+700
Consensus
-
+440
-
+430
Consensus
-
+1000
-
+1100
-
+1000
-
+900
-
+500
-
+500
-
+230
-
+210
-
+850
-
+900
-
+750
-
+750
-
+450
-
+440
-
+1000
-
+1000
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
9
10
51
53
50
52
54
49
56
55
9
10
53
51
49
50
56
52
54
55
9
10
51
53
50
52
54
49
56
55
9
10
53
51
49
50
56
52
54
55
Consensus
-120
-111
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-111
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-105
-106
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-114
-115
-112
-115
-123
-115
-
-
-
-
-113
-118
-114
-117
-
-121
-113
-
-
-
-112
-114
-111
-114
-116
-116
-
-
-
-
-118
-118
-113
-117
-
-120
-111
-
-
-
-113
-119
-113
-113
-127
-113
-
-
-
-
-115
-121
-121
-121
-
-121
-108
-
-
-
-113
-113
-113
-113
-127
-119
-
-
-
-
-121
-121
-115
-121
-
-121
-108
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-125
-
-115
-
-
-120
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-115
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-120
-
-115
-
-
-115
-120
-110
-115
-
-120
-
-115
-115
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-106
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-112
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-106
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-114
-113
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-114
-
-110
-
-114
-
-110
-
-
-114
-
-110
-114
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-114
-
-113
-
-113
-
-110
-
-
-110
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-120
-115
-110
-115
-
-110
-115
-
-
-
-110
-110
-110
-110
-115
-120
-
-
-
-
-120
-120
-115
-120
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-105
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-125
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-120
-
-
-125
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
5
6
5
6
5
6
5
6
Consensus
-132
+121
-102
-158
-132
+118
+101
-157
-137
+116
+108
-160
-125
+116
-109
-160
-115
+120
+110
-155
-135
+120
-120
-155
-108
-
-120
-
-122
-
-102
-
-150
-
+110
-
-160
-
+115
-
-125
+145
-105
-190
-115
+145
-105
-190
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
-125
-120
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
21
22
20
19
21
20
22
19
21
22
20
19
21
20
22
19
Consensus
-109
-111
-119
-
-120
-108
-119
-
-112
-110
-120
-
-120
-109
-118
-
-121
-109
-123
-
-125
-111
-127
-
-111
-108
-123
-
-123
-111
-125
-
-108
-110
-113
-125
-120
-110
-118
-108
-108
-113
-114
-118
-120
-110
-120
-104
-120
-110
-120
-
-120
-110
-125
-
-110
-110
-125
-
-120
-105
-120
-
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+12250
+12500
+12000
+14000
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+1150
+1437
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
52
53
51
54
55
50
51
52
54
53
50
55
52
53
51
54
55
50
51
52
54
53
50
55
Consensus
-116
-121
-118
-116
-120
-121
-112
-114
-114
-114
-112
-115
-121
-118
-121
-118
-115
-121
-112
-113
-114
-113
-113
-115
-121
-121
-121
-121
-
-121
-113
-113
-113
-113
-113
-
-121
-121
-121
-121
-
-121
-113
-113
-113
-113
-113
-
-120
-110
-120
-115
-120
-120
-115
-115
-120
-120
-110
-110
-110
-120
-120
-115
-115
-120
-110
-120
-115
-120
-115
-115
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+330
+300

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