Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Feb 23, 2025

Milwaukee Bucks

Milwaukee Bucks
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Pick – 2/23/2025


The Miami Heat will face off against the Milwaukee Bucks on February 23, 2025, at 6:00 PM ET at Fiserv Forum. The Bucks enter this matchup as favorites, boasting a -5.0 spread and a moneyline of -195, reflecting their strong position at home. In contrast, the Heat are listed at +170 on the moneyline, with an implied win probability of 36%, while the Bucks sit at 64%.

Currently, the Bucks are riding a hot streak, having won three consecutive games. In their most recent outing, they edged past the Washington Wizards with a narrow 104-101 victory. Meanwhile, the Heat have struggled recently, losing 17 of their last 30 games. They managed to secure a win against the Toronto Raptors, defeating them 120-111, but their overall performance has raised concerns among fans and bettors alike.

For those considering player props, Damian Lillard's Points, Rebounds, and Assists is gaining traction. This market has seen significant betting activity, with the total opening at Over 34.5 and moving up to 35.5, indicating sharp bettors are leaning toward the over on this prop.

As the game approaches, all eyes will be on how Miami can capitalize on their recent victory and overcome their inconsistent play. Conversely, Milwaukee looks to maintain their momentum and solidify their standing in the league. This matchup promises to be an engaging duel for fans and bettors, with multiple intriguing angles to explore.


Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Miami Heat 107.3 vs Milwaukee Bucks 115.01


Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Heat35%28%
Bucks65%72%

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+4.0/-110
29% MIA
-4.0/-110
71% MIL

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+149
10% MIA
-179
90% MIL

Total Pick Consensus

221.0/-112
16% UN
221.0/-108
84% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
MIL
72
Games
72
39.8
FG
41.2
86.2
FGA
90.6
.461
FG%
.455
13.6
3Pt-FG
13.7
37.5
3Pt-FGA
38.9
.362
3Pt%
.352
26.2
2Pt-FG
27.5
48.8
2Pt-FGA
51.7
.537
2Pt%
.533
16.2
FT
16.2
20.4
FTA
20.6
.792
FT%
.786
9.4
ORB
10.8
33.5
DRB
34.6
42.9
TRB
45.4
26.2
AST
26.0
7.9
STL
7.4
3.8
BLK
4.0
13.9
TOV
12.9
15.7
PF
18.9
109.2
PTS
112.3

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
MIL
72
Games
72
41.3
FG
41.6
88.8
FGA
86.6
.465
FG%
.481
13.6
3Pt-FG
14.1
38.0
3Pt-FGA
36.9
.359
3Pt%
.382
27.7
2Pt-FG
27.6
50.8
2Pt-FGA
49.7
.545
2Pt%
.554
14.0
FT
17.1
17.9
FTA
22.7
.782
FT%
.751
10.9
ORB
8.5
34.0
DRB
35.3
44.9
TRB
43.8
26.5
AST
25.1
7.6
STL
7.4
4.7
BLK
4.7
13.7
TOV
13.4
17.1
PF
18.0
110.3
PTS
114.4

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
MIL
.540
eFG%
.530
12.7
TOV%
11.5
21.6
RB%
76.6
.187
FT/FGA
.178

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
MIL
.542
eFG%
.562
12.4
TOV%
12.2
75.4
RB%
19.6
.157
FT/FGA
.197

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIL
72
Games
72
40.8
FG
41.4
88.6
FGA
91.0
.461
FG%
.455
13.9
3Pt-FG
13.8
38.5
3Pt-FGA
39.1
.362
3Pt%
.352
26.9
2Pt-FG
27.6
50.1
2Pt-FGA
51.9
.537
2Pt%
.533
16.6
FT
16.2
21.0
FTA
20.6
.792
FT%
.786
9.6
ORB
10.8
34.4
DRB
34.8
44.0
TRB
45.6
26.9
AST
26.1
8.2
STL
7.5
3.9
BLK
4.0
14.3
TOV
13.0
16.1
PF
18.9
112.2
PTS
112.8

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIL
72
Games
72
42.5
FG
41.8
91.3
FGA
87.0
.465
FG%
.481
14.0
3Pt-FG
14.1
39.1
3Pt-FGA
37.0
.359
3Pt%
.382
28.4
2Pt-FG
27.7
52.2
2Pt-FGA
50.0
.545
2Pt%
.554
14.4
FT
17.1
18.4
FTA
22.8
.782
FT%
.751
11.2
ORB
8.5
34.9
DRB
35.5
46.2
TRB
44.0
27.2
AST
25.2
7.8
STL
7.4
4.9
BLK
4.7
14.1
TOV
13.5
17.6
PF
18.1
113.3
PTS
114.9

MIA
Analytics
MIL
34
Pythag Wins
41
38
Pythag Losses
31
-1.08
Margin Of Victory
2.15
112.2
O Rtg
114.9
113.3
D Rtg
112.8
96.1
Pace
99.4
.237
FTr
.262
.435
3PAr
.426
.574
TS%
.592

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA MIL
MIA MIL
Consensus
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-112)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.0 (-110)
-4.0 (-110)
+5.0 (-108)
-5.0 (-110)
+4.0 (-108)
-4.0 (-112)
+5.5 (-109)
-5.5 (-107)
+4.5 (-109)
-4.5 (-112)
+4.5 (-105)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.0 (-105)
-4.0 (-115)
+4.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
MIA MIL
MIA MIL
Consensus
+160
-190
+149
-179
+160
-192
+145
-175
+166
-198
+142
-168
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
224.0 (-105)
224.0 (-115)
221.0 (-111)
221.0 (-109)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
221.5 (-108)
221.5 (-112)
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
221.0 (-110)
221.0 (-110)
221.0 (-108)
221.0 (-113)
221.0 (-113)
221.0 (-108)
224.0 (-105)
224.0 (-115)
221.0 (-110)
221.0 (-110)
224.5 (-105)
224.5 (-115)
220.5 (-115)
220.5 (-105)

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