Justin Jefferson projections and prop bets for Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings on Oct 20, 2024
Justin Jefferson Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 93.5 over: -131
- Receiving Yards 93.5 under: -104
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The model projects this game to see the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 130.4 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.
The Lions defense has been something of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (42.2 per game) this year.
In this contest, Justin Jefferson is expected by the predictive model to finish in the 99th percentile when it comes to WRs with 11.1 targets.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The Minnesota Vikings have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 52.6 plays per game.
Justin Jefferson has posted quite a few less air yards this season (125.0 per game) than he did last season (139.0 per game).
Justin Jefferson has totaled a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (79.0) this year than he did last year (103.0).
Justin Jefferson's 58.0% Adjusted Catch% this year marks a noteworthy regression in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 67.7% figure.
Justin Jefferson's pass-catching efficiency has worsened this season, compiling a mere 9.02 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 10.46 mark last season.
Projection For Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Justin Jefferson is projected to have 96.8 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Justin Jefferson Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 6.5 over: -145
- Receptions 6.5 under: 115
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The model projects this game to see the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 130.4 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.
The Lions defense has been something of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (42.2 per game) this year.
In this contest, Justin Jefferson is expected by the predictive model to finish in the 99th percentile when it comes to WRs with 11.1 targets.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
The Minnesota Vikings have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 52.6 plays per game.
Justin Jefferson's receiving performance has tailed off this season, accumulating a measly 5.1 adjusted catches compared to 6.6 last season.
Justin Jefferson's 58.0% Adjusted Catch% this year marks a noteworthy regression in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 67.7% figure.
This year, the tough Lions defense has given up a feeble 61.7% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 9th-best rate in the NFL.
The Lions safeties grade out as the best safety corps in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.
Projection For Justin Jefferson Receptions Prop Bet
Justin Jefferson is projected to have 6.4 Receptions in this weeks game.
