Justin Jefferson NFL Week 4 projections and prop bets for Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers on Sep 29, 2024
Justin Jefferson Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 5.5 over: -155
- Receptions 5.5 under: 115
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Vikings, who are -5-point underdogs.
The leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 60.3% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
This week, Justin Jefferson is projected by the projections to position himself in the 98th percentile among WRs with 9.5 targets.
With a terrific 5.4 adjusted catches per game (95th percentile) since the start of last season, Justin Jefferson rates as one of the leading wide receivers in the NFL in the NFL.
The Green Bay Packers pass defense has allowed the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (67.9%) vs. wideouts since the start of last season (67.9%).
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
The Minnesota Vikings have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 56.4 plays per game.
The Vikings have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack performance when facing windier weather in this game.
Projection For Justin Jefferson Receptions Prop Bet
Justin Jefferson is projected to have 5.8 Receptions in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Justin Jefferson Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 79.5 over: -114
- Receiving Yards 79.5 under: -114
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Vikings, who are -5-point underdogs.
The leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 60.3% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
This week, Justin Jefferson is projected by the projections to position himself in the 98th percentile among WRs with 9.5 targets.
Justin Jefferson grades out as one of the leading pass-catching WRs since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 79.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 96th percentile.
The Green Bay Packers pass defense has allowed the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (67.9%) vs. wideouts since the start of last season (67.9%).
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The Minnesota Vikings have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 56.4 plays per game.
The Vikings have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack performance when facing windier weather in this game.
Projection For Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Justin Jefferson is projected to have 80.6 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
