Justin Fields NFL Week 4 projections and prop bets for Pittsburgh Steelers at Indianapolis Colts on Sep 29, 2024
Justin Fields Player Prop Bet: Pass Attempts
Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:
- Pass Attempts 26.5 over: -102
- Pass Attempts 26.5 under: -128
Trends Favoring The Over Pass Attempts Prop Bet
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are predicted by the model to call 65.3 total plays in this contest: the 8th-highest number among all teams this week.
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.
Trends Favoring The Under Pass Attempts Prop Bet
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Steelers to pass on 49.8% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
In this contest, Justin Fields is forecasted by our trusted projection set to total the 7th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 28.1.
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense since the start of last season: 10th-fewest in the NFL.
Projection For Justin Fields Pass Attempts Prop Bet
Justin Fields is projected to have 27.2 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Justin Fields Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 40.5 over: 100
- Rushing Yards 40.5 under: -130
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 2nd-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 50.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are predicted by the model to call 65.3 total plays in this contest: the 8th-highest number among all teams this week.
In this contest, Justin Fields is expected by the model to accrue the 4th-most rush attempts out of all QBs with 8.2.
Taking on 24.5% of his offense's rush attempts this year (92nd percentile among quarterbacks), Justin Fields's mobility marks him as a significant weapon with his legs.
Since the start of last season, the porous Colts run defense has conceded a staggering 138.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing squads: the 3rd-worst in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.
Justin Fields's running effectiveness has diminished this season, notching a mere 3.31 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 5.62 mark last season.
The Colts defensive tackles rank as the 5th-best DT corps in football since the start of last season with their run defense.
Projection For Justin Fields Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Justin Fields is projected to have 46.3 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Justin Fields Player Prop Bet: Completions
Completions Prop Bet Odds:
- Completions 17.5 over: 100
- Completions 17.5 under: -129
Trends Favoring The Over Completions Prop Bet
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are predicted by the model to call 65.3 total plays in this contest: the 8th-highest number among all teams this week.
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.
When it comes to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Indianapolis's DE corps has been lousy since the start of last season, projecting as the 5th-worst in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Completions Prop Bet
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Steelers to pass on 49.8% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
In this contest, Justin Fields is forecasted by our trusted projection set to total the 7th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 28.1.
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense since the start of last season: 10th-fewest in the NFL.
When talking about pass protection (and the significance it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Steelers grades out as the 4th-worst in the league since the start of last season.
With a subpar 62.5% Adjusted Completion% (16th percentile) since the start of last season, Justin Fields ranks among the least on-target passers in the NFL.
Projection For Justin Fields Completions Prop Bet
Justin Fields is projected to have 17.2 Completions in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Justin Fields Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
- Touchdown Passes 0.5 over: -220
- Touchdown Passes 0.5 under: 165
Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are predicted by the model to call 65.3 total plays in this contest: the 8th-highest number among all teams this week.
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.
When it comes to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Indianapolis's DE corps has been lousy since the start of last season, projecting as the 5th-worst in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Steelers to pass on 49.8% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 5th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 47.3% red zone pass rate.
In this contest, Justin Fields is forecasted by our trusted projection set to total the 7th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 28.1.
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense since the start of last season: 10th-fewest in the NFL.
With a subpar 62.5% Adjusted Completion% (16th percentile) since the start of last season, Justin Fields ranks among the least on-target passers in the NFL.
Projection For Justin Fields Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Justin Fields is projected to have 1.1 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Justin Fields Player Prop Bet: Interceptions
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Interceptions 0.5 over: 123
- Interceptions 0.5 under: -162
Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are predicted by the model to call 65.3 total plays in this contest: the 8th-highest number among all teams this week.
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.
When it comes to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Indianapolis's DE corps has been lousy since the start of last season, projecting as the 5th-worst in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Steelers to pass on 49.8% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
In this contest, Justin Fields is forecasted by our trusted projection set to total the 7th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 28.1.
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense since the start of last season: 10th-fewest in the NFL.
When talking about pass protection (and the significance it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Steelers grades out as the 4th-worst in the league since the start of last season.
Projection For Justin Fields Interceptions Prop Bet
Justin Fields is projected to have 0.7 Interceptions in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Justin Fields Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Passing Yards 177.5 over: -114
- Passing Yards 177.5 under: -114
Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are predicted by the model to call 65.3 total plays in this contest: the 8th-highest number among all teams this week.
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.
When it comes to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Indianapolis's DE corps has been lousy since the start of last season, projecting as the 5th-worst in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Steelers to pass on 49.8% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
In this contest, Justin Fields is forecasted by our trusted projection set to total the 7th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 28.1.
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense since the start of last season: 10th-fewest in the NFL.
When talking about pass protection (and the significance it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Steelers grades out as the 4th-worst in the league since the start of last season.
Justin Fields ranks as one of the weakest QBs in football since the start of last season, averaging 168.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 24th percentile.
Projection For Justin Fields Passing Yards Prop Bet
Justin Fields is projected to have 186.6 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Justin Fields Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 8.5 over: -103
- Carries 8.5 under: -133
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 2nd-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 50.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are predicted by the model to call 65.3 total plays in this contest: the 8th-highest number among all teams this week.
In this contest, Justin Fields is expected by the model to accrue the 4th-most rush attempts out of all QBs with 8.2.
Taking on 24.5% of his offense's rush attempts this year (92nd percentile among quarterbacks), Justin Fields's mobility marks him as a significant weapon with his legs.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.
The Colts defensive tackles rank as the 5th-best DT corps in football since the start of last season with their run defense.
Projection For Justin Fields Carries Prop Bet
Justin Fields is projected to have 7.9 Carries in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
