Josh Jacobs projections and prop bets for Houston Texans at Green Bay Packers on Oct 20, 2024
Josh Jacobs Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 63.5 over: -130
- Rushing Yards 63.5 under: 100
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
A rushing game script is suggested by the Packers being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.
The leading projections forecast this game to see the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 136.1 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
The model projects Josh Jacobs to accumulate 16.4 rush attempts in this contest, on average, putting him in the 87th percentile among RBs.
Josh Jacobs has rushed for quite a few more adjusted yards per game (76.0) this season than he did last season (63.0).
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
At the moment, the 5th-least run-centric team in the NFL (36.0% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Green Bay Packers.
Josh Jacobs has been a less important option in his team's run game this year (58.8% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (81.5%).
This year, the stout Houston Texans run defense has allowed a mere 110.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 9th-best in the league.
When it comes to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Houston's unit has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.
Projection For Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Josh Jacobs is projected to have 64.6 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Josh Jacobs Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 13.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 13.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
At the moment, the 5th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (64.0% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Packers.
The leading projections forecast this game to see the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 136.1 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect Josh Jacobs to accumulate 2.9 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile when it comes to RBs.
The Packers O-line grades out as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.
Josh Jacobs's ball-catching skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 69.0% to 84.7%.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
A rushing game script is suggested by the Packers being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.
The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
Josh Jacobs's 11.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 20.5.
Josh Jacobs has notched substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (17.0) this year than he did last year (23.0).
This year, the strong Houston Texans defense has given up a meager 22.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing running backs: the 2nd-best in the NFL.
Projection For Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Josh Jacobs is projected to have 15.3 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Josh Jacobs Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 2.5 over: 116
- Receptions 2.5 under: -152
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
At the moment, the 5th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (64.0% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Packers.
The leading projections forecast this game to see the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 136.1 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect Josh Jacobs to accumulate 2.9 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile when it comes to RBs.
The Packers O-line grades out as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.
Josh Jacobs's ball-catching skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 69.0% to 84.7%.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
A rushing game script is suggested by the Packers being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.
The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
Josh Jacobs's 11.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 20.5.
Josh Jacobs's pass-catching performance worsened this year, compiling a measly 1.8 adjusted catches vs 2.8 last year.
This year, the strong Houston Texans defense has allowed a mere 74.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the smallest rate in the league.
Projection For Josh Jacobs Receptions Prop Bet
Josh Jacobs is projected to have 2 Receptions in this weeks game.
Josh Jacobs Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 15.5 over: -125
- Carries 15.5 under: -104
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
A rushing game script is suggested by the Packers being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.
The leading projections forecast this game to see the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 136.1 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
The model projects Josh Jacobs to accumulate 16.4 rush attempts in this contest, on average, putting him in the 87th percentile among RBs.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
At the moment, the 5th-least run-centric team in the NFL (36.0% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Green Bay Packers.
Josh Jacobs has been a less important option in his team's run game this year (58.8% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (81.5%).
When it comes to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Houston's unit has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.
Projection For Josh Jacobs Carries Prop Bet
Josh Jacobs is projected to have 15.4 Carries in this weeks game.
