Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Feb 24, 2025

Atlanta Hawks

Atlanta Hawks
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Pick – 2/24/2025


The Miami Heat (26-29) face off against the Atlanta Hawks (26-31) in a pivotal matchup on February 24, 2025, at 7:30 PM ET. This clash features two divisional rivals, adding extra significance and motivation for both teams to secure a win.

Both squads are entering this game on the second night of back-to-back contests, which could impact their performance. The Miami Heat are coming off a tough loss to the Milwaukee Bucks, falling 120-113, while the Atlanta Hawks suffered a high-scoring defeat against the Detroit Pistons, losing 148-143. With both teams struggling recently, the Hawks have dropped three consecutive games, while the Heat have lost 18 of their last 30 road games.

Despite being on the road, the Heat are slight favorites with the spread currently set at Heat -1.5. The Moneyline reflects a similar sentiment, with the Heat at -120 and the Hawks at +100, translating to an implied win probability of 52% for Miami and 48% for Atlanta.

For bettors, Tyler Herro's Points and Assists prop market has garnered attention, suggesting he could play a crucial role in this matchup. Additionally, sharp bettors are leaning toward the Under, believing it offers value at Under 33.5 Points and Assists (-110).

As both teams look to turn their fortunes around, this matchup promises to be a competitive and engaging affair, with each squad eager to capitalize on the rivalry and improve their standing.


Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Miami Heat 113.72 vs Atlanta Hawks 109.55


Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Heat52%62%
Hawks48%38%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+2.5/-112
71% MIA
-2.5/-108
29% ATL

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+112
51% MIA
-132
49% ATL

Total Pick Consensus

231.5/-112
20% UN
231.5/-108
80% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
ATL
72
Games
72
39.8
FG
43.6
86.2
FGA
90.5
.461
FG%
.481
13.6
3Pt-FG
14.1
37.5
3Pt-FGA
37.8
.362
3Pt%
.372
26.2
2Pt-FG
29.5
48.8
2Pt-FGA
52.7
.537
2Pt%
.560
16.2
FT
18.1
20.4
FTA
22.5
.792
FT%
.808
9.4
ORB
10.4
33.5
DRB
33.6
42.9
TRB
44.0
26.2
AST
28.4
7.9
STL
9.2
3.8
BLK
5.0
13.9
TOV
16.2
15.7
PF
19.3
109.2
PTS
119.3

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
ATL
72
Games
72
41.3
FG
43.1
88.8
FGA
92.0
.465
FG%
.469
13.6
3Pt-FG
13.2
38.0
3Pt-FGA
37.3
.359
3Pt%
.355
27.7
2Pt-FG
29.9
50.8
2Pt-FGA
54.7
.545
2Pt%
.546
14.0
FT
18.1
17.9
FTA
23.4
.782
FT%
.774
10.9
ORB
12.0
34.0
DRB
32.6
44.9
TRB
44.6
26.5
AST
29.4
7.6
STL
9.8
4.7
BLK
5.3
13.7
TOV
15.6
17.1
PF
19.0
110.3
PTS
117.6

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
ATL
.540
eFG%
.559
12.7
TOV%
13.9
21.6
RB%
75.9
.187
FT/FGA
.200

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
ATL
.542
eFG%
.541
12.4
TOV%
13.3
75.4
RB%
26.2
.157
FT/FGA
.197

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
ATL
72
Games
72
40.8
FG
42.1
88.6
FGA
87.5
.461
FG%
.481
13.9
3Pt-FG
13.6
38.5
3Pt-FGA
36.6
.362
3Pt%
.372
26.9
2Pt-FG
28.5
50.1
2Pt-FGA
50.9
.537
2Pt%
.560
16.6
FT
17.5
21.0
FTA
21.7
.792
FT%
.808
9.6
ORB
10.0
34.4
DRB
32.5
44.0
TRB
42.5
26.9
AST
27.4
8.2
STL
8.9
3.9
BLK
4.8
14.3
TOV
15.7
16.1
PF
18.7
112.2
PTS
115.4

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
ATL
72
Games
72
42.5
FG
41.7
91.3
FGA
88.9
.465
FG%
.469
14.0
3Pt-FG
12.8
39.1
3Pt-FGA
36.0
.359
3Pt%
.355
28.4
2Pt-FG
28.9
52.2
2Pt-FGA
52.9
.545
2Pt%
.546
14.4
FT
17.5
18.4
FTA
22.6
.782
FT%
.774
11.2
ORB
11.6
34.9
DRB
31.5
46.2
TRB
43.1
27.2
AST
28.5
7.8
STL
9.5
4.9
BLK
5.1
14.1
TOV
15.1
17.6
PF
18.4
113.3
PTS
113.7

MIA
Analytics
ATL
34
Pythag Wins
32
38
Pythag Losses
40
-1.08
Margin Of Victory
-1.78
112.2
O Rtg
113.7
113.3
D Rtg
115.4
96.1
Pace
102.9
.237
FTr
.254
.435
3PAr
.405
.574
TS%
.575

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA ATL
MIA ATL
Consensus
-1.0 (-111)
+1.0 (-110)
+2.0 (-111)
-2.0 (-109)
-1.0 (-112)
+1.0 (-110)
+2.5 (-112)
-2.5 (-108)
-1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-114)
+2.0 (-110)
-2.0 (-110)
-1.5 (-113)
+1.5 (-113)
+2.0 (-113)
-2.0 (-108)
-2.0 (-105)
+2.0 (-110)
+2.0 (-105)
-2.0 (-115)
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
MIA ATL
MIA ATL
Consensus
-115
-105
+112
-132
-115
-105
+120
-142
-110
-106
+114
-134
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
231.5 (-109)
231.5 (-111)
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
232.0 (-108)
232.0 (-112)
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
231.5 (-110)
231.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
231.5 (-108)
231.5 (-113)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
231.5 (-110)
231.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
231.5 (-115)
231.5 (-105)

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