Josh Jacobs NFL Week 4 projections and prop bets for Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers on Sep 29, 2024
Josh Jacobs Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 15.5 over: -108
- Carries 15.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
This game's line indicates a rushing game script for the Packers, who are favored by 5 points.
To the extent of a defense's influence on pace, at 27.69 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Packers to be the 7th-quickest in football (adjusted for context) at the present time.
The leading projections forecast Josh Jacobs to accumulate 15.7 carries in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 84th percentile among running backs.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
The model projects the Packers to be the 2nd-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 50.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
After taking on 81.5% of his offense's run game usage last season, Josh Jacobs has been less involved in the running game this season, currently sitting at only 57.4%.
The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles project as the 7th-best unit in the league since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.
Projection For Josh Jacobs Carries Prop Bet
Josh Jacobs is projected to have 14.9 Carries in this weeks game.
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Josh Jacobs Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 57.5 over: -130
- Rushing Yards 57.5 under: 100
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
This game's line indicates a rushing game script for the Packers, who are favored by 5 points.
To the extent of a defense's influence on pace, at 27.69 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Packers to be the 7th-quickest in football (adjusted for context) at the present time.
The leading projections forecast Josh Jacobs to accumulate 15.7 carries in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 84th percentile among running backs.
Josh Jacobs has averaged 68.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the largest figures in football when it comes to RBs (93rd percentile).
Josh Jacobs's 4.5 adjusted yards per carry this year signifies a noteworthy improvement in his running prowess over last year's 3.5 figure.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The model projects the Packers to be the 2nd-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 50.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
After taking on 81.5% of his offense's run game usage last season, Josh Jacobs has been less involved in the running game this season, currently sitting at only 57.4%.
The Vikings defense owns the 4th-best efficiency against opposing ground games since the start of last season, allowing just 3.92 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles project as the 7th-best unit in the league since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.
Projection For Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Josh Jacobs is projected to have 62 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
