Jonathan Taylor NFL Week 4 projections and prop bets for Pittsburgh Steelers at Indianapolis Colts on Sep 29, 2024
Jonathan Taylor Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 1.5 over: -178
- Receptions 1.5 under: 136
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
At the moment, the 4th-quickest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Indianapolis Colts.
The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.
With a top-tier 50.2% Route% (85th percentile) since the start of last season, Jonathan Taylor places among the pass-catching RBs with the biggest workloads in the league.
The Indianapolis Colts O-line ranks as the best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all pass game stats across the board.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
The leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts as the 4th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 52.2% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Pittsburgh Steelers, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 31.7 per game) since the start of last season.
Jonathan Taylor's 41.5% Adjusted Catch Rate this season reflects a noteworthy decline in his receiving skills over last season's 77.7% rate.
The Steelers pass defense has given up the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (79%) vs. RBs since the start of last season (79.0%).
The Steelers safeties project as the 3rd-best unit in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.
Projection For Jonathan Taylor Receptions Prop Bet
Jonathan Taylor is projected to have 1.9 Receptions in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Jonathan Taylor Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 18.5 over: 102
- Carries 18.5 under: -132
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to run on 47.8% of their plays: the 4th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
At the moment, the 4th-quickest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Indianapolis Colts.
This week, Jonathan Taylor is anticipated by the projection model to position himself in the 100th percentile among RBs with 21.7 rush attempts.
Jonathan Taylor has been much more involved in his team's running game this season (72.9% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (56.8%).
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.
As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Pittsburgh's group of DEs has been outstanding since the start of last season, grading out as the best in the NFL.
Projection For Jonathan Taylor Carries Prop Bet
Jonathan Taylor is projected to have 19.4 Carries in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Jonathan Taylor Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 74.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 74.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to run on 47.8% of their plays: the 4th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
At the moment, the 4th-quickest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Indianapolis Colts.
This week, Jonathan Taylor is anticipated by the projection model to position himself in the 100th percentile among RBs with 21.7 rush attempts.
Jonathan Taylor has been much more involved in his team's running game this season (72.9% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (56.8%).
Jonathan Taylor has generated 77.0 adjusted rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest marks in the league among running backs (98th percentile).
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.
As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Pittsburgh's group of DEs has been outstanding since the start of last season, grading out as the best in the NFL.
Projection For Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Jonathan Taylor is projected to have 88.1 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Jonathan Taylor Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 12.5 over: -105
- Receiving Yards 12.5 under: -125
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
At the moment, the 4th-quickest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Indianapolis Colts.
The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.
With a top-tier 50.2% Route% (85th percentile) since the start of last season, Jonathan Taylor places among the pass-catching RBs with the biggest workloads in the league.
The Indianapolis Colts O-line ranks as the best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all pass game stats across the board.
Jonathan Taylor grades out as one of the best pass-game RBs since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 15.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 76th percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts as the 4th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 52.2% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Pittsburgh Steelers, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 31.7 per game) since the start of last season.
Jonathan Taylor's 41.5% Adjusted Catch Rate this season reflects a noteworthy decline in his receiving skills over last season's 77.7% rate.
The Steelers pass defense has given up the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (79%) vs. RBs since the start of last season (79.0%).
The Steelers safeties project as the 3rd-best unit in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.
Projection For Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Jonathan Taylor is projected to have 15.2 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
