Joe Burrow NFL Week 4 projections and prop bets for Cincinnati Bengals at Carolina Panthers on Sep 29, 2024
Joe Burrow Player Prop Bet: Interceptions
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Interceptions 0.5 over: -110
- Interceptions 0.5 under: -117
Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet
The projections expect the Bengals as the 4th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
In this week's game, Joe Burrow is predicted by the model to average the 3rd-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 36.3.
The Panthers have intercepted 0.54 passes per game since the start of last season, grading out as the 5th-worst defense in the league by this statistic
The Carolina Panthers safeties profile as the 3rd-worst safety corps in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.
Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet
The Bengals are a 5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Bengals since the start of last season (a mere 56.4 per game on average).
Opposing teams have averaged 28.1 pass attempts per game versus the Panthers defense since the start of last season: fewest in the NFL.
In tallying only 0.47 interceptions per game since the start of last season, Joe Burrow slots in among the leading quarterbacks in the league (80th percentile).
Projection For Joe Burrow Interceptions Prop Bet
Joe Burrow is projected to have 1.3 Interceptions in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Joe Burrow Player Prop Bet: Pass Attempts
Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:
- Pass Attempts 34.5 over: -130
- Pass Attempts 34.5 under: 100
Trends Favoring The Over Pass Attempts Prop Bet
The projections expect the Bengals as the 4th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
In this week's game, Joe Burrow is predicted by the model to average the 3rd-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 36.3.
Trends Favoring The Under Pass Attempts Prop Bet
The Bengals are a 5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Bengals since the start of last season (a mere 56.4 per game on average).
Opposing teams have averaged 28.1 pass attempts per game versus the Panthers defense since the start of last season: fewest in the NFL.
Projection For Joe Burrow Pass Attempts Prop Bet
Joe Burrow is projected to have 34.5 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Joe Burrow Player Prop Bet: Completions
Completions Prop Bet Odds:
- Completions 24.5 over: -108
- Completions 24.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Completions Prop Bet
The projections expect the Bengals as the 4th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
In this week's game, Joe Burrow is predicted by the model to average the 3rd-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 36.3.
Joe Burrow ranks as one of the most accurate quarterbacks in football since the start of last season with an exceptional 67.7% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 81st percentile.
The Carolina Panthers safeties profile as the 3rd-worst safety corps in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.
Trends Favoring The Under Completions Prop Bet
The Bengals are a 5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Bengals since the start of last season (a mere 56.4 per game on average).
Opposing teams have averaged 28.1 pass attempts per game versus the Panthers defense since the start of last season: fewest in the NFL.
Projection For Joe Burrow Completions Prop Bet
Joe Burrow is projected to have 23.4 Completions in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Joe Burrow Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 10.5 over: -114
- Rushing Yards 10.5 under: -114
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The Bengals are a 5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
After accounting for 9.3% of his offense's rushing play calls last year, Joe Burrow has been called on more in the rushing attack this year, currently comprising 19.0%.
Since the start of last season, the shaky Carolina Panthers run defense has conceded a staggering 139.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 2nd-worst in the NFL.
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Carolina's unit has been very bad since the start of last season, profiling as the 3rd-worst in football. in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The model projects the Bengals to be the 4th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 37.7% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Bengals since the start of last season (a mere 56.4 per game on average).
Joe Burrow's rushing effectiveness has declined this year, compiling a mere 2.34 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 5.11 mark last year.
Projection For Joe Burrow Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Joe Burrow is projected to have 15.6 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Joe Burrow Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Passing Yards 249.5 over: -135
- Passing Yards 249.5 under: 105
Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet
The projections expect the Bengals as the 4th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
In this week's game, Joe Burrow is predicted by the model to average the 3rd-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 36.3.
Joe Burrow ranks as one of the most accurate quarterbacks in football since the start of last season with an exceptional 67.7% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 81st percentile.
The Carolina Panthers safeties profile as the 3rd-worst safety corps in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.
Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet
The Bengals are a 5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Bengals since the start of last season (a mere 56.4 per game on average).
Opposing teams have averaged 28.1 pass attempts per game versus the Panthers defense since the start of last season: fewest in the NFL.
Joe Burrow ranks as one of the least effective passers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 6.53 adjusted yards-per-target while checking in at the lowly 23rd percentile.
Projection For Joe Burrow Passing Yards Prop Bet
Joe Burrow is projected to have 241.1 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Joe Burrow Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 3.5 over: -127
- Carries 3.5 under: -103
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
The Bengals are a 5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
After accounting for 9.3% of his offense's rushing play calls last year, Joe Burrow has been called on more in the rushing attack this year, currently comprising 19.0%.
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Carolina's unit has been very bad since the start of last season, profiling as the 3rd-worst in football. in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
The model projects the Bengals to be the 4th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 37.7% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Bengals since the start of last season (a mere 56.4 per game on average).
Projection For Joe Burrow Carries Prop Bet
Joe Burrow is projected to have 3.9 Carries in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Joe Burrow Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: -155
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: 120
Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
The projections expect the Bengals as the 4th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
At the moment, the 4th-most pass-oriented team in the league near the goal line (58.3% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Cincinnati Bengals.
In this week's game, Joe Burrow is predicted by the model to average the 3rd-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 36.3.
Joe Burrow ranks as one of the most accurate quarterbacks in football since the start of last season with an exceptional 67.7% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 81st percentile.
The Carolina Panthers safeties profile as the 3rd-worst safety corps in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.
Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
The Bengals are a 5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Bengals since the start of last season (a mere 56.4 per game on average).
Opposing teams have averaged 28.1 pass attempts per game versus the Panthers defense since the start of last season: fewest in the NFL.
Projection For Joe Burrow Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Joe Burrow is projected to have 1.6 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
