Javonte Williams projections and prop bets for Carolina Panthers at Denver Broncos on Oct 27, 2024
Javonte Williams Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 61.5 over: -125
- Rushing Yards 61.5 under: -105
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
An extreme running game script is suggested by the Broncos being an enormous 9-point favorite in this game.
Our trusted projections expect the Broncos to be the 3rd-most run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 48.6% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
With respect to a defense's influence on pace, at 27.37 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Denver Broncos to be the 4th-quickest in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now.
In this week's contest, Javonte Williams is anticipated by the projection model to secure a spot in the 80th percentile when it comes to running backs with 14.7 carries.
This year, the shaky Carolina Panthers run defense has given up a massive 182.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the most in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Javonte Williams has been a more important option in his team's offense this year, playing on 59.9% of snaps vs just 49.6% last year.
Javonte Williams has been one of the bottom running backs in the NFL at picking up extra rushing yardage, averaging a measly 2.67 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 24th percentile.
Projection For Javonte Williams Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Javonte Williams is projected to have 56.6 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Javonte Williams Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 20.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 20.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
With respect to a defense's influence on pace, at 27.37 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Denver Broncos to be the 4th-quickest in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now.
The model projects Javonte Williams to total 4.0 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 91st percentile among RBs.
Javonte Williams's 20.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 15.0.
The Denver O-line grades out as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
Javonte Williams has notched many more adjusted receiving yards per game (23.0) this year than he did last year (15.0).
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
An extreme running game script is suggested by the Broncos being an enormous 9-point favorite in this game.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Broncos to pass on 51.4% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Carolina Panthers, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in football (just 29.6 per game) this year.
Projection For Javonte Williams Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Javonte Williams is projected to have 19 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
