Javonte Williams NFL Week 4 projections and prop bets for Denver Broncos at New York Jets on Sep 29, 2024
Javonte Williams Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 14.5 over: -130
- Receiving Yards 14.5 under: -100
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Broncos, who are -6-point underdogs.
The Broncos have been the 5th-most pass-focused team in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year with a 65.6% pass rate.
Javonte Williams has been used more as a potential target this season (46.8% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (29.4%).
Our trusted projections expect Javonte Williams to notch 3.5 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 85th percentile when it comes to RBs.
The Denver O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Given the game dynamics and traits of each team, the leading projections forecast this game (with an average of 27.17 seconds per play) will have the 11th-worst tempo out of all the games this week.
The Broncos have run the 5th-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a mere 55.5 plays per game.
Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the New York Jets, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.5 per game) since the start of last season.
Javonte Williams has accumulated a mere -5.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 4th percentile among running backs.
With a bad 4.2 adjusted yards per target (7th percentile) since the start of last season, Javonte Williams has been among the weakest RBs in the pass game in the league.
Projection For Javonte Williams Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Javonte Williams is projected to have 14.7 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
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Javonte Williams Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 2.5 over: 110
- Receptions 2.5 under: -140
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Broncos, who are -6-point underdogs.
The Broncos have been the 5th-most pass-focused team in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year with a 65.6% pass rate.
Javonte Williams has been used more as a potential target this season (46.8% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (29.4%).
Our trusted projections expect Javonte Williams to notch 3.5 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 85th percentile when it comes to RBs.
With a terrific 2.5 adjusted receptions per game (83rd percentile) since the start of last season, Javonte Williams rates among the leading pass-catching running backs in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
Given the game dynamics and traits of each team, the leading projections forecast this game (with an average of 27.17 seconds per play) will have the 11th-worst tempo out of all the games this week.
The Broncos have run the 5th-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a mere 55.5 plays per game.
Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the New York Jets, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.5 per game) since the start of last season.
The Jets pass defense has given up the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (78.1%) vs. running backs since the start of last season (78.1%).
The Jets linebackers profile as the best unit in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.
Projection For Javonte Williams Receptions Prop Bet
Javonte Williams is projected to have 2.5 Receptions in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Javonte Williams Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 32.5 over: 140
- Rushing Yards 32.5 under: -190
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, New York's unit has been dreadful since the start of last season, grading out as the 2nd-worst in the league. in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Broncos, who are -6-point underdogs.
With a 34.4% rate of running the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 5th-least run-oriented offense in the NFL has been the Denver Broncos.
Given the game dynamics and traits of each team, the leading projections forecast this game (with an average of 27.17 seconds per play) will have the 11th-worst tempo out of all the games this week.
Javonte Williams's 2.3 adjusted yards per carry this year shows an impressive drop-off in his rushing ability over last year's 3.6 figure.
The Jets defense has had the 8th-best efficiency against opposing ground games since the start of last season, giving up just 4.22 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
Projection For Javonte Williams Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Javonte Williams is projected to have 40.1 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
