Detroit Lions

Detroit Lions

Nov 3, 2024

Green Bay Packers

Green Bay Packers
  • Overview
  • Props

Jared Goff Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Jared Goff projections and prop bets for Detroit Lions at Houston Texans on Nov 10, 2024

Jared Goff Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes

Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:

  • Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: 116
  • Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -152

Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Lions are forecasted by the model to run 65.5 total plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Jared Goff's 75.3% Adjusted Completion% this season marks a meaningful boost in his passing accuracy over last season's 66.3% mark.

Jared Goff has been one of the leading TD throwers in football this year, averaging a remarkable 1.75 per game while ranking in the 84th percentile.

This year, the poor Houston Texans defense has been gouged for a whopping 2.11 passing TDs per game to opposing quarterbacks: the highest rate in football.

Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

This game's line indicates a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 3.5 points.

At the present time, the 9th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL in the red zone (52.5% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Detroit Lions.

The Lions have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.8 plays per game.

Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Texans, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.7 per game) this year.

This year, the strong Texans defense has yielded a measly 61.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the best rate in the NFL.

Projection For Jared Goff Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

Jared Goff is projected to have 1.7 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.


Jared Goff Player Prop Bet: Interceptions

Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Interceptions 0.5 over: 120
  • Interceptions 0.5 under: -155

Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Lions are forecasted by the model to run 65.5 total plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet

This game's line indicates a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 3.5 points.

At the moment, the 10th-least pass-focused team in the league (58.9% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Detroit Lions.

The Lions have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.8 plays per game.

Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Texans, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.7 per game) this year.

Houston's defense profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL this year when it comes to producing interceptions, accumulating 0.96 per game.

Projection For Jared Goff Interceptions Prop Bet

Jared Goff is projected to have 0.4 Interceptions in this weeks game.


Jared Goff Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards

Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Passing Yards 219.5 over: -114
  • Passing Yards 219.5 under: -114

Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Lions are forecasted by the model to run 65.5 total plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Jared Goff's 75.3% Adjusted Completion% this season marks a meaningful boost in his passing accuracy over last season's 66.3% mark.

Jared Goff's 8.78 adjusted yards-per-target this year reflects a noteable growth in his throwing efficiency over last year's 7.5% figure.

Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet

This game's line indicates a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 3.5 points.

At the moment, the 10th-least pass-focused team in the league (58.9% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Detroit Lions.

The Lions have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.8 plays per game.

Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Texans, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.7 per game) this year.

Jared Goff's 232.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year shows a remarkable decrease in his passing talent over last year's 268.0 figure.

Projection For Jared Goff Passing Yards Prop Bet

Jared Goff is projected to have 248.8 Passing Yards in this weeks game.


Jared Goff Player Prop Bet: Completions

Completions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Completions 19.5 over: -120
  • Completions 19.5 under: -108

Trends Favoring The Over Completions Prop Bet

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Lions are forecasted by the model to run 65.5 total plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Jared Goff's 75.3% Adjusted Completion% this season marks a meaningful boost in his passing accuracy over last season's 66.3% mark.

Trends Favoring The Under Completions Prop Bet

This game's line indicates a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 3.5 points.

At the moment, the 10th-least pass-focused team in the league (58.9% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Detroit Lions.

The Lions have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.8 plays per game.

Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Texans, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.7 per game) this year.

This year, the strong Texans defense has yielded a measly 61.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the best rate in the NFL.

Projection For Jared Goff Completions Prop Bet

Jared Goff is projected to have 21.7 Completions in this weeks game.


Jared Goff Player Prop Bet: Pass Attempts

Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:

  • Pass Attempts 29.5 over: -114
  • Pass Attempts 29.5 under: -114

Trends Favoring The Over Pass Attempts Prop Bet

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Lions are forecasted by the model to run 65.5 total plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Trends Favoring The Under Pass Attempts Prop Bet

This game's line indicates a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 3.5 points.

At the moment, the 10th-least pass-focused team in the league (58.9% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Detroit Lions.

The Lions have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.8 plays per game.

Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Texans, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.7 per game) this year.

Projection For Jared Goff Pass Attempts Prop Bet

Jared Goff is projected to have 33.5 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • To Score a Touchdown
  • To Throw An Interception
  • Total Pass Completions
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Passing + Rushing Yards
  • Total Passing Attempts
  • Total Passing Touchdowns
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • Longest Pass
  • Interceptions Thrown
  • Total Passing Yards
  • To Complete First Pass
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • To Throw An Interception
  • Total Pass Completions
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Passing + Rushing Yards
  • Total Passing Attempts
  • Total Passing Touchdowns
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • Longest Pass
  • Interceptions Thrown
  • Total Passing Yards
  • To Complete First Pass
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-2963
+1100
-3006
+1063
Consensus
-
+3200
-
+3200
Consensus
-
+4700
-
+4800
Consensus
-
+2000
-
+2000
Consensus
-
+2800
-
+2400
Consensus
-
+4600
-
+4100
-
+1400
-
+1000
-
+1300
-
+1100
-
+3200
-
+3100
-
+6000
-
+4900
-
+2100
-
+1700
-
+2800
-
+2200
-
+3600
-
+4100
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-128
+108
-128
-102
-128
+108
-140
-102
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
21
22
20
21
20
22
21
22
20
21
20
22
Consensus
-105
-107
-118
-116
-112
-110
-119
-105
-107
-107
-114
-125
+110
-123
-111
-109
-135
-121
-115
-103
-123
-108
-108
-111
-110
-120
+105
-115
-120
-120
-115
-115
+100
-115
-130
-125
-128
-
-114
-102
-128
-
-120
-
-102
-108
-108
-
-110
+100
-130
-120
-120
-110
-120
-115
-110
-115
+100
-115
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
2
1
2
1
2
1
2
1
Consensus
-111
-128
-119
-103
-112
-128
-124
-103
-104
-
-127
-
-104
-
-123
-
-110
-
-120
-
-105
-
-125
-
-115
-130
-115
-105
-110
-130
-120
-105
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+10500
+8000
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
213
227
218
220
221
226
228
216
210
212
219
211
215
222
217
219
228
212
226
220
216
210
227
213
211
217
221
222
215
218
213
227
218
220
221
226
228
216
210
212
219
211
215
222
217
219
228
212
226
220
216
210
227
213
211
217
221
222
215
218
Consensus
-116
-116
-116
-116
-
-116
-116
-116
-
-116
-
-116
-
-
-
-
-115
-116
-116
-116
-116
-
-116
-116
-119
-
-
-
-
-116
-116
-116
-116
-116
-
-116
-115
-116
-
-116
-
-116
-
-
-
-
-116
-116
-116
-116
-116
-
-116
-116
-119
-
-
-
-
-116
-117
-117
-
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-
-
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-
-
-
-
-
-117
-117
-
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-
-
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-120
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-120
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-120
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-120
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
30
29
31
31
29
30
30
29
31
31
29
30
Consensus
-114
-116
-105
-125
-105
-111
-108
-125
-104
-125
-105
-117
-121
-133
-108
-127
-109
-113
-121
-135
-108
-127
-103
-113
-115
-125
-105
-120
-110
-115
-125
-115
-110
-125
-115
-110
-102
-
+108
-154
-
-128
-102
-
+118
-140
-
-128
-105
-120
-105
-120
-110
-130
-105
-115
-105
-125
-120
-105
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
2
2
2
2
Consensus
-113
-153
+109
-117
-103
-123
-103
-148
-110
-120
-115
-145
+122
-165
+126
-128
-110
-120
-110
-120
-105
-160
+120
-130
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
2
2
2
2
Consensus
-140
+107
-133
+107
-145
+105
-135
+105
-140
+100
-130
+105
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
34
33
34
33
34
33
34
33
Consensus
-108
-123
-120
-117
-118
-115
-117
-114
-113
-125
-123
-119
-111
-115
-121
-109
-110
-115
-120
-105
-110
-120
-110
-110
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
1
1
1
1
Consensus
+105
-147
+115
-149
+116
-148
+110
-151
+115
-145
+110
-150
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
221
233
228
219
211
213
235
218
216
229
225
222
234
212
232
210
220
217
209
214
230
227
223
208
215
231
226
207
224
206
216
222
219
221
234
207
215
208
220
233
226
231
235
229
217
211
230
213
218
232
210
212
228
225
224
214
223
227
206
209
221
233
228
219
211
213
235
218
216
229
225
222
234
212
232
210
220
217
209
214
230
227
223
208
215
231
226
207
224
206
216
222
219
221
234
207
215
208
220
233
226
231
235
229
217
211
230
213
218
232
210
212
228
225
224
214
223
227
206
209
Consensus
-113
-113
-114
-113
-112
-111
-114
-115
-
-115
-112
-113
-113
-
-114
-118
-114
-114
-
-
-114
-
-112
-113
-111
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-112
-113
-114
-116
-113
-113
-112
-113
-116
-
-
-119
-120
-114
-114
-113
-114
-114
-112
-110
-
-113
-114
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-117
-115
-114
-115
-119
-112
-114
-114
-
-113
-113
-113
-114
-
-114
-117
-114
-115
-
-
-112
-
-113
-113
-108
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-112
-113
-115
-112
-113
-114
-112
-115
-115
-
-
-119
-115
-114
-114
-113
-114
-115
-113
-109
-
-113
-113
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-
-
-
-
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-117
-
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-
-117
-117
-117
-
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-
-
-
-
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-117
-
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-
-117
-117
-117
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-110
-115
-
-
-115
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-
-120
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-110
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-110
-115
-
-
-115
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-120
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-
-120
-
-
-
-115
-114
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-110
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-110
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-110
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-110
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-120
-
-115
-115
-115
-120
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-120
-115
-115
-115
-120
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-110
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-120
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-120
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-120
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-110
-115
-110
-
-
-
-120
-
-
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-120
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
+210
-300
+210
-300
+210
-300
+210
-300