Jared Goff projections and prop bets for Detroit Lions at Houston Texans on Nov 10, 2024
Jared Goff Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: 116
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -152
Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Lions are forecasted by the model to run 65.5 total plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Jared Goff's 75.3% Adjusted Completion% this season marks a meaningful boost in his passing accuracy over last season's 66.3% mark.
Jared Goff has been one of the leading TD throwers in football this year, averaging a remarkable 1.75 per game while ranking in the 84th percentile.
This year, the poor Houston Texans defense has been gouged for a whopping 2.11 passing TDs per game to opposing quarterbacks: the highest rate in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
This game's line indicates a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 3.5 points.
At the present time, the 9th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL in the red zone (52.5% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Detroit Lions.
The Lions have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.8 plays per game.
Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Texans, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.7 per game) this year.
This year, the strong Texans defense has yielded a measly 61.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the best rate in the NFL.
Projection For Jared Goff Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Jared Goff is projected to have 1.7 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
Jared Goff Player Prop Bet: Interceptions
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Interceptions 0.5 over: 120
- Interceptions 0.5 under: -155
Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Lions are forecasted by the model to run 65.5 total plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet
This game's line indicates a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 3.5 points.
At the moment, the 10th-least pass-focused team in the league (58.9% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Detroit Lions.
The Lions have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.8 plays per game.
Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Texans, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.7 per game) this year.
Houston's defense profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL this year when it comes to producing interceptions, accumulating 0.96 per game.
Projection For Jared Goff Interceptions Prop Bet
Jared Goff is projected to have 0.4 Interceptions in this weeks game.
Jared Goff Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Passing Yards 219.5 over: -114
- Passing Yards 219.5 under: -114
Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Lions are forecasted by the model to run 65.5 total plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Jared Goff's 75.3% Adjusted Completion% this season marks a meaningful boost in his passing accuracy over last season's 66.3% mark.
Jared Goff's 8.78 adjusted yards-per-target this year reflects a noteable growth in his throwing efficiency over last year's 7.5% figure.
Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet
This game's line indicates a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 3.5 points.
At the moment, the 10th-least pass-focused team in the league (58.9% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Detroit Lions.
The Lions have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.8 plays per game.
Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Texans, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.7 per game) this year.
Jared Goff's 232.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year shows a remarkable decrease in his passing talent over last year's 268.0 figure.
Projection For Jared Goff Passing Yards Prop Bet
Jared Goff is projected to have 248.8 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
Jared Goff Player Prop Bet: Completions
Completions Prop Bet Odds:
- Completions 19.5 over: -120
- Completions 19.5 under: -108
Trends Favoring The Over Completions Prop Bet
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Lions are forecasted by the model to run 65.5 total plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Jared Goff's 75.3% Adjusted Completion% this season marks a meaningful boost in his passing accuracy over last season's 66.3% mark.
Trends Favoring The Under Completions Prop Bet
This game's line indicates a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 3.5 points.
At the moment, the 10th-least pass-focused team in the league (58.9% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Detroit Lions.
The Lions have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.8 plays per game.
Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Texans, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.7 per game) this year.
This year, the strong Texans defense has yielded a measly 61.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the best rate in the NFL.
Projection For Jared Goff Completions Prop Bet
Jared Goff is projected to have 21.7 Completions in this weeks game.
Jared Goff Player Prop Bet: Pass Attempts
Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:
- Pass Attempts 29.5 over: -114
- Pass Attempts 29.5 under: -114
Trends Favoring The Over Pass Attempts Prop Bet
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Lions are forecasted by the model to run 65.5 total plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Trends Favoring The Under Pass Attempts Prop Bet
This game's line indicates a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 3.5 points.
At the moment, the 10th-least pass-focused team in the league (58.9% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Detroit Lions.
The Lions have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.8 plays per game.
Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Texans, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.7 per game) this year.
Projection For Jared Goff Pass Attempts Prop Bet
Jared Goff is projected to have 33.5 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.
