James Conner projections and prop bets for Los Angeles Chargers at Arizona Cardinals on Oct 21, 2024
James Conner Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 9.5 over: -145
- Receiving Yards 9.5 under: 115
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) typically lead to increased passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced run volume.
James Conner has played on 62.5% of his offense's snaps this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The predictive model expects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 10th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 55.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Arizona Cardinals are expected by our trusted projection set to call just 61.0 total plays in this game: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 53.5 plays per game.
As it relates to air yards, James Conner grades out in the measly 14th percentile among RBs this year, accruing just -6.0 per game.
This year, the stout Chargers defense has surrendered a mere 26.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing RBs: the 4th-best in the league.
Projection For James Conner Receiving Yards Prop Bet
James Conner is projected to have 14.2 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
James Conner Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 14.5 over: -128
- Carries 14.5 under: -102
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
The model projects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 8th-most run-oriented team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 41.6% run rate.
The model projects James Conner to total 16.6 rush attempts this week, on balance, ranking him in the 89th percentile among running backs.
Out of all running backs, James Conner grades out in the 93rd percentile for carries this year, comprising 61.9% of the workload in his team's rushing attack.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Arizona Cardinals are expected by our trusted projection set to call just 61.0 total plays in this game: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 53.5 plays per game.
Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) typically lead to increased passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced run volume.
As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, Los Angeles's collection of safeties has been outstanding this year, grading out as the 6th-best in the league.
Projection For James Conner Carries Prop Bet
James Conner is projected to have 15.5 Carries in this weeks game.
James Conner Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 2.5 over: 148
- Receptions 2.5 under: -196
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) typically lead to increased passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced run volume.
James Conner has played on 62.5% of his offense's snaps this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
The predictive model expects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 10th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 55.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Arizona Cardinals are expected by our trusted projection set to call just 61.0 total plays in this game: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 53.5 plays per game.
This year, the imposing Los Angeles Chargers defense has surrendered a measly 80.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 8th-lowest rate in football.
The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers project as the 7th-best collection of LBs in football this year in defending pass-catchers.
Projection For James Conner Receptions Prop Bet
James Conner is projected to have 2 Receptions in this weeks game.
James Conner Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 65.5 over: -120
- Rushing Yards 65.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The model projects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 8th-most run-oriented team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 41.6% run rate.
The model projects James Conner to total 16.6 rush attempts this week, on balance, ranking him in the 89th percentile among running backs.
Out of all running backs, James Conner grades out in the 93rd percentile for carries this year, comprising 61.9% of the workload in his team's rushing attack.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Arizona Cardinals are expected by our trusted projection set to call just 61.0 total plays in this game: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 53.5 plays per game.
Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) typically lead to increased passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced run volume.
James Conner has run for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (65.0) this season than he did last season (79.0).
The opposing side have rushed for the 6th-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 95.0 per game) against the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year.
Projection For James Conner Rushing Yards Prop Bet
James Conner is projected to have 68.3 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
