James Conner NFL Week 4 projections and prop bets for Washington Commanders at Arizona Cardinals on Sep 29, 2024
James Conner Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 69.5 over: -114
- Rushing Yards 69.5 under: -114
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect James Conner to garner 16.2 rush attempts in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 86th percentile when it comes to RBs.
James Conner has garnered 60.9% of his offense's run game usage this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to RBs.
With an outstanding rate of 76.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (97th percentile), James Conner rates among the best RBs in the league since the start of last season.
The Washington Commanders defense has had the 5th-worst efficiency against opposing ground games since the start of last season, allowing 4.75 adjusted yards-per-carry.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The predictive model expects the Cardinals to run the 6th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
James Conner's 4.0 adjusted yards per carry this year illustrates a remarkable decline in his rushing talent over last year's 5.0 rate.
The Washington Commanders linebackers rank as the 2nd-best LB corps in the league since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.
Projection For James Conner Rushing Yards Prop Bet
James Conner is projected to have 65.8 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
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