Ja'Marr Chase projections and prop bets for Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns on Oct 20, 2024
Ja'Marr Chase Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 76.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 76.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 4th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
In this game, Ja'Marr Chase is anticipated by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 95th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 9.1 targets.
Ja'Marr Chase grades out as one of the best WRs in the NFL this year, averaging an excellent 83.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 97th percentile.
Ja'Marr Chase's 83.3% Adjusted Completion% this year signifies a significant progression in his receiving ability over last year's 71.2% figure.
Ja'Marr Chase's 12.1 adjusted yards per target this year indicates a material boost in his receiving proficiency over last year's 8.5 figure.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
A rushing game script is indicated by the Bengals being a 5.5-point favorite in this game.
The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals offense to be the 8th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 29.04 seconds per snap.
Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Cleveland Browns, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 30.0 per game) this year.
Ja'Marr Chase has been a less important option in his team's pass attack this season (21.9% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (27.6%).
Ja'Marr Chase has put up quite a few less air yards this year (61.0 per game) than he did last year (89.0 per game).
Projection For Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Ja'Marr Chase is projected to have 75.3 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Ja'Marr Chase Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 5.5 over: -164
- Receptions 5.5 under: 125
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 4th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
In this game, Ja'Marr Chase is anticipated by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 95th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 9.1 targets.
With a fantastic 5.7 adjusted catches per game (90th percentile) this year, Ja'Marr Chase places among the leading WRs in the league in football.
Ja'Marr Chase's 83.3% Adjusted Completion% this year signifies a significant progression in his receiving ability over last year's 71.2% figure.
As it relates to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Cleveland's unit has been lousy this year, profiling as the 2nd-worst in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
A rushing game script is indicated by the Bengals being a 5.5-point favorite in this game.
The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals offense to be the 8th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 29.04 seconds per snap.
Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Cleveland Browns, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 30.0 per game) this year.
Ja'Marr Chase has been a less important option in his team's pass attack this season (21.9% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (27.6%).
This year, the formidable Cleveland Browns defense has conceded a meager 57.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 2nd-smallest rate in the NFL.
Projection For Ja'Marr Chase Receptions Prop Bet
Ja'Marr Chase is projected to have 5.6 Receptions in this weeks game.
