Ja'Marr Chase NFL Week 4 projections and prop bets for Cincinnati Bengals at Carolina Panthers on Sep 29, 2024
Ja'Marr Chase Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 69.5 over: -145
- Receiving Yards 69.5 under: 115
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The projections expect the Bengals as the 4th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
In this contest, Ja'Marr Chase is anticipated by the model to slot into the 97th percentile among wideouts with 9.1 targets.
While Ja'Marr Chase has accounted for 18.2% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more integral piece of Cincinnati's offense in this week's game at 26.0%.
Ja'Marr Chase has posted a monstrous 82.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 87th percentile when it comes to WRs.
Ja'Marr Chase profiles as one of the top WRs in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a fantastic 66.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 93rd percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The Bengals are a 5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Bengals since the start of last season (a mere 56.4 per game on average).
Opposing teams have averaged 28.1 pass attempts per game versus the Panthers defense since the start of last season: fewest in the NFL.
The Panthers defense has yielded the 2nd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 114.0) to WRs since the start of last season.
Projection For Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Ja'Marr Chase is projected to have 68.8 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
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Ja'Marr Chase Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 6.5 over: 108
- Receptions 6.5 under: -140
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The projections expect the Bengals as the 4th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
In this contest, Ja'Marr Chase is anticipated by the model to slot into the 97th percentile among wideouts with 9.1 targets.
While Ja'Marr Chase has accounted for 18.2% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more integral piece of Cincinnati's offense in this week's game at 26.0%.
Ja'Marr Chase comes in as one of the leading pass-catching WRs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 5.6 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 96th percentile.
Ja'Marr Chase ranks as one of the best possession receivers in the league, catching an outstanding 72.4% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 87th percentile among wide receivers.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
The Bengals are a 5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Bengals since the start of last season (a mere 56.4 per game on average).
Opposing teams have averaged 28.1 pass attempts per game versus the Panthers defense since the start of last season: fewest in the NFL.
Projection For Ja'Marr Chase Receptions Prop Bet
Ja'Marr Chase is projected to have 6 Receptions in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section