Jalen Hurts NFL Week 4 projections and prop bets for Philadelphia Eagles at Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sep 29, 2024

Jalen Hurts Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes

Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:

  • Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: 175
  • Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -250

Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

With respect to a defense's impact on tempo, at 27.52 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 4th-quickest in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been a well-known pass funnel since the start of last season, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (37.4 per game) since the start of last season.

As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Eagles profiles as the best in the league since the start of last season.

Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 55.1% of their plays: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles to be the least pass-heavy team in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 44.2% red zone pass rate.

The Buccaneers defense has conceded the 6th-fewest passing touchdowns in the league: 1.15 per game since the start of last season.

When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Tampa Bay's CB corps has been phenomenal since the start of last season, projecting as the 4th-best in football.

Projection For Jalen Hurts Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

Jalen Hurts is projected to have 1.2 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.


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