Hunter Henry NFL Week 4 projections and prop bets for New England Patriots at San Francisco 49ers on Sep 29, 2024
Hunter Henry Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 27.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 27.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
An extreme passing game script is implied by the Patriots being a big -11.5-point underdog in this game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game vs. the 49ers defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the NFL.
The leading projections forecast Hunter Henry to accumulate 5.7 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 94th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
Hunter Henry has compiled a monstrous 43.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 94th percentile among TEs.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to be the 4th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 55.4% pass rate.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see only 122.5 total plays called: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.
The New England Patriots have run the 7th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a measly 56.3 plays per game.
The model projects Hunter Henry to be much less involved in his team's passing attack this week (19.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (25.4% in games he has played).
Hunter Henry rates as one of the most unreliable receivers in the league among tight ends, hauling in a mere 68.2% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, checking in at the 15th percentile.
Projection For Hunter Henry Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Hunter Henry is projected to have 35 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
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