George Pickens projections and prop bets for New York Jets at Pittsburgh Steelers on Oct 20, 2024
George Pickens Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 54.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 54.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may slide.
The predictive model expects George Pickens to accrue 7.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 87th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
George Pickens has notched a staggering 88.0 air yards per game this year: 89th percentile among WRs.
George Pickens's 75.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 62.5.
With a fantastic 56.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (79th percentile) this year, George Pickens stands as one of the top wide receivers in the NFL in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The predictive model expects the Steelers as the 4th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 51.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to see only 126.4 total plays called: the 5th-lowest number out of all the games this week.
Opposing QBs teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Jets, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 30.7 per game) this year.
George Pickens's receiving effectiveness has tailed off this year, averaging a mere 8.03 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 9.48 figure last year.
George Pickens's skills in generating extra yardage have tailed off this season, totaling a measly 1.85 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 5.94 figure last season.
Projection For George Pickens Receiving Yards Prop Bet
George Pickens is projected to have 57.4 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
George Pickens Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 4.5 over: 120
- Receptions 4.5 under: -150
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may slide.
The predictive model expects George Pickens to accrue 7.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 87th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
George Pickens's 75.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 62.5.
George Pickens ranks as one of the best wide receivers in the league this year, averaging an outstanding 4.2 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 78th percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
The predictive model expects the Steelers as the 4th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 51.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to see only 126.4 total plays called: the 5th-lowest number out of all the games this week.
Opposing QBs teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Jets, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 30.7 per game) this year.
The Jets pass defense has surrendered the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (58.3%) versus wideouts this year (58.3%).
As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, New York's unit has been excellent this year, profiling as the best in the league.
Projection For George Pickens Receptions Prop Bet
George Pickens is projected to have 4.1 Receptions in this weeks game.
