Garrett Wilson NFL Week 4 projections and prop bets for Denver Broncos at New York Jets on Sep 29, 2024
Garrett Wilson Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 59.5 over: 105
- Receiving Yards 59.5 under: -135
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
At the moment, the 4th-most pass-centric team in football (63.2% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Jets.
New York's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially reduced (and running stats inflated) on account of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We figure to be able to count on some correction with better weather in this game.
With a top-tier 97.9% Route Participation% (100th percentile) since the start of last season, Garrett Wilson has been among the wide receivers with the most usage in the NFL.
In this week's contest, Garrett Wilson is predicted by the model to rank in the 97th percentile among wideouts with 9.1 targets.
Since the start of last season, the shaky Denver Broncos pass defense has yielded a colossal 68.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 7th-highest rate in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
With a 6-point advantage, the Jets are favored in this game, implying more of a reliance on running than their normal approach.
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the New York Jets are predicted by the predictive model to call just 62.3 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.
In regards to pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Jets ranks as the 2nd-worst in football since the start of last season.
Garrett Wilson's sure-handedness have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 58.8% to 53.9%.
The Broncos safeties rank as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in defending receivers.
Projection For Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Garrett Wilson is projected to have 65.5 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Garrett Wilson Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 4.5 over: -134
- Receptions 4.5 under: 104
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
At the moment, the 4th-most pass-centric team in football (63.2% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Jets.
New York's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially reduced (and running stats inflated) on account of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We figure to be able to count on some correction with better weather in this game.
With a top-tier 97.9% Route Participation% (100th percentile) since the start of last season, Garrett Wilson has been among the wide receivers with the most usage in the NFL.
In this week's contest, Garrett Wilson is predicted by the model to rank in the 97th percentile among wideouts with 9.1 targets.
Since the start of last season, the shaky Denver Broncos pass defense has yielded a colossal 68.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 7th-highest rate in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
With a 6-point advantage, the Jets are favored in this game, implying more of a reliance on running than their normal approach.
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the New York Jets are predicted by the predictive model to call just 62.3 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.
In regards to pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Jets ranks as the 2nd-worst in football since the start of last season.
Garrett Wilson's sure-handedness have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 58.8% to 53.9%.
The Broncos safeties rank as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in defending receivers.
Projection For Garrett Wilson Receptions Prop Bet
Garrett Wilson is projected to have 5.5 Receptions in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
