Gardner Minshew NFL Week 4 projections and prop bets for Cleveland Browns at Las Vegas Raiders on Sep 29, 2024
Gardner Minshew Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 2.5 over: 108
- Carries 2.5 under: -139
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are expected by the predictive model to run 65.5 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.
Gardner Minshew has been a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this season (11.1% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (5.8%).
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Raiders to run on 40.5% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
The 3rd-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Raiders since the start of last season (a mere 54.9 per game on average).
The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.
The model projects Gardner Minshew to accrue 1.9 rush attempts in this week's game, on average: the 8th-fewest among all QBs.
The Cleveland Browns defensive tackles project as the 6th-best collection of DTs in the league since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.
Projection For Gardner Minshew Carries Prop Bet
Gardner Minshew is projected to have 1.4 Carries in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Gardner Minshew Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 6.5 over: -120
- Rushing Yards 6.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are expected by the predictive model to run 65.5 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.
Gardner Minshew has been a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this season (11.1% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (5.8%).
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Raiders to run on 40.5% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
The 3rd-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Raiders since the start of last season (a mere 54.9 per game on average).
The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.
Gardner Minshew has generated just 7.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the smallest figures in the league among quarterbacks (22nd percentile).
Opposing teams have run for the 9th-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 104.0 per game) versus the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season.
Projection For Gardner Minshew Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Gardner Minshew is projected to have 5.8 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Gardner Minshew Player Prop Bet: Completions
Completions Prop Bet Odds:
- Completions 19.5 over: -115
- Completions 19.5 under: -113
Trends Favoring The Over Completions Prop Bet
The leading projections forecast the Raiders to be the 8th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 59.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are expected by the predictive model to run 65.5 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.
The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.
When it comes to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Las Vegas Raiders profiles as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season.
When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, Cleveland's LB corps has been atrocious since the start of last season, ranking as the 10th-worst in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Completions Prop Bet
The 3rd-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Raiders since the start of last season (a mere 54.9 per game on average).
The predictive model expects Gardner Minshew to attempt 34.8 passes in this game, on average: the 10th-most out of all quarterbacks.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.4 per game) since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, the stout Browns defense has yielded a mere 62.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the best rate in the NFL.
Projection For Gardner Minshew Completions Prop Bet
Gardner Minshew is projected to have 15.2 Completions in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Gardner Minshew Player Prop Bet: Interceptions
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Interceptions 0.5 over: -120
- Interceptions 0.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet
The leading projections forecast the Raiders to be the 8th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 59.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are expected by the predictive model to run 65.5 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.
The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.
When it comes to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Las Vegas Raiders profiles as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season.
When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, Cleveland's LB corps has been atrocious since the start of last season, ranking as the 10th-worst in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet
The 3rd-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Raiders since the start of last season (a mere 54.9 per game on average).
The predictive model expects Gardner Minshew to attempt 34.8 passes in this game, on average: the 10th-most out of all quarterbacks.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.4 per game) since the start of last season.
Projection For Gardner Minshew Interceptions Prop Bet
Gardner Minshew is projected to have 0.9 Interceptions in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Gardner Minshew Player Prop Bet: Pass Attempts
Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:
- Pass Attempts 31.5 over: -125
- Pass Attempts 31.5 under: -105
Trends Favoring The Over Pass Attempts Prop Bet
The leading projections forecast the Raiders to be the 8th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 59.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are expected by the predictive model to run 65.5 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.
The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.
Trends Favoring The Under Pass Attempts Prop Bet
The 3rd-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Raiders since the start of last season (a mere 54.9 per game on average).
The predictive model expects Gardner Minshew to attempt 34.8 passes in this game, on average: the 10th-most out of all quarterbacks.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.4 per game) since the start of last season.
Projection For Gardner Minshew Pass Attempts Prop Bet
Gardner Minshew is projected to have 27 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Gardner Minshew Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: 152
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -214
Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
The leading projections forecast the Raiders to be the 8th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 59.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Raiders rank as the most pass-oriented team in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 77.8% red zone pass rate.
Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are expected by the predictive model to run 65.5 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.
The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.
When it comes to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Las Vegas Raiders profiles as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season.
Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
The 3rd-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Raiders since the start of last season (a mere 54.9 per game on average).
The predictive model expects Gardner Minshew to attempt 34.8 passes in this game, on average: the 10th-most out of all quarterbacks.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.4 per game) since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, the stout Browns defense has yielded a mere 62.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the best rate in the NFL.
Projection For Gardner Minshew Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Gardner Minshew is projected to have 0.8 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Gardner Minshew Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Passing Yards 199.5 over: -145
- Passing Yards 199.5 under: 115
Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet
The leading projections forecast the Raiders to be the 8th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 59.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are expected by the predictive model to run 65.5 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.
The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.
When it comes to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Las Vegas Raiders profiles as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season.
When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, Cleveland's LB corps has been atrocious since the start of last season, ranking as the 10th-worst in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet
The 3rd-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Raiders since the start of last season (a mere 54.9 per game on average).
The predictive model expects Gardner Minshew to attempt 34.8 passes in this game, on average: the 10th-most out of all quarterbacks.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.4 per game) since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, the stout Browns defense has yielded a mere 62.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the best rate in the NFL.
Since the start of last season, the tough Cleveland Browns defense has surrendered the least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to the opposing side: a meager 6.6 yards.
Projection For Gardner Minshew Passing Yards Prop Bet
Gardner Minshew is projected to have 178.1 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
