Ezekiel Elliott NFL Week 4 projections and prop bets for Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants on Sep 26, 2024
Ezekiel Elliott Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 5.5 over: -125
- Receiving Yards 5.5 under: -105
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The model projects the Cowboys to be the 5th-most pass-focused offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 63.1% pass rate.
The projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to run the 2nd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The 3rd-most plays in football have been run by the Dallas Cowboys since the start of last season (a staggering 60.6 per game on average).
Ezekiel Elliott profiles as one of the best pass-game RBs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 16.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 79th percentile.
Since the start of last season, the shaky New York Giants pass defense has been torched for a staggering 89.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the biggest rate in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
With a 4-point advantage, the Cowboys are favored this week, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their normal game plan.
Dallas's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially inflated (and running stats decreased) considering playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL. We figure to be able to expect some correction with windier weather in this week's game.
Ezekiel Elliott's 26.5% Route% this year signifies a remarkable reduction in his pass game workload over last year's 36.7% figure.
Ezekiel Elliott has notched a mere -4.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 6th percentile when it comes to RBs.
The Giants linebackers project as the 6th-best collection of LBs in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.
Projection For Ezekiel Elliott Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Ezekiel Elliott is projected to have 11.6 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Ezekiel Elliott Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 7.5 over: -110
- Carries 7.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
With a 4-point advantage, the Cowboys are favored this week, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their normal game plan.
The projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to run the 2nd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The 3rd-most plays in football have been run by the Dallas Cowboys since the start of last season (a staggering 60.6 per game on average).
Dallas's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially inflated (and running stats decreased) considering playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL. We figure to be able to expect some correction with windier weather in this week's game.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
The leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys to be the 5th-least run-focused offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 36.9% run rate.
The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may drop-off.
After accounting for 44.0% of his offense's rush attempts last year, Ezekiel Elliott has been called on less the running game this year, currently comprising only 32.2%.
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, New York's DT corps has been fantastic since the start of last season, ranking as the 2nd-best in the NFL.
Projection For Ezekiel Elliott Carries Prop Bet
Ezekiel Elliott is projected to have 10.2 Carries in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Ezekiel Elliott Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 1.5 over: 140
- Receptions 1.5 under: -180
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The model projects the Cowboys to be the 5th-most pass-focused offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 63.1% pass rate.
The projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to run the 2nd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The 3rd-most plays in football have been run by the Dallas Cowboys since the start of last season (a staggering 60.6 per game on average).
With a fantastic 2.7 adjusted catches per game (87th percentile) since the start of last season, Ezekiel Elliott has been among the best pass-game running backs in the league.
Since the start of last season, the shaky New York Giants pass defense has been torched for a staggering 89.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the biggest rate in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
With a 4-point advantage, the Cowboys are favored this week, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their normal game plan.
Dallas's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially inflated (and running stats decreased) considering playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL. We figure to be able to expect some correction with windier weather in this week's game.
Ezekiel Elliott's 26.5% Route% this year signifies a remarkable reduction in his pass game workload over last year's 36.7% figure.
The Giants linebackers project as the 6th-best collection of LBs in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.
Projection For Ezekiel Elliott Receptions Prop Bet
Ezekiel Elliott is projected to have 1.8 Receptions in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Ezekiel Elliott Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 30.5 over: 130
- Rushing Yards 30.5 under: -175
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
With a 4-point advantage, the Cowboys are favored this week, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their normal game plan.
The projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to run the 2nd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The 3rd-most plays in football have been run by the Dallas Cowboys since the start of last season (a staggering 60.6 per game on average).
Dallas's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially inflated (and running stats decreased) considering playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL. We figure to be able to expect some correction with windier weather in this week's game.
Since the start of last season, the tough Giants run defense has allowed a meager 4.96 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposing run game: the 31st-lowest rate in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys to be the 5th-least run-focused offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 36.9% run rate.
The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may drop-off.
After accounting for 44.0% of his offense's rush attempts last year, Ezekiel Elliott has been called on less the running game this year, currently comprising only 32.2%.
Ezekiel Elliott's rushing effectiveness (3.23 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL since the start of last season (11th percentile among RBs).
Ezekiel Elliott rates as one of the weakest running backs in the NFL at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging a lowly 2.49 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while grading out in the 13th percentile.
Projection For Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Ezekiel Elliott is projected to have 40.1 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
