Drake London NFL Week 4 projections and prop bets for New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons on Sep 29, 2024
Drake London Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 5.5 over: 105
- Receptions 5.5 under: -135
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.7 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.
Drake London has run a route on 90.7% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, placing him in the 89th percentile among WRs.
Our trusted projections expect Drake London to accrue 8.3 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 90th percentile among wide receivers.
Drake London grades out as one of the best pass-catching wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging an exceptional 3.7 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 77th percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
The Falcons are a 4-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Falcons to pass on 55.9% of their chances: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
The Saints pass defense has conceded the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (59.5%) vs. wideouts since the start of last season (59.5%).
As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, New Orleans's LB corps has been great since the start of last season, projecting as the 7th-best in the NFL.
Projection For Drake London Receptions Prop Bet
Drake London is projected to have 4.8 Receptions in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Drake London Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 63.5 over: 110
- Receiving Yards 63.5 under: -140
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.7 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.
Drake London has run a route on 90.7% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, placing him in the 89th percentile among WRs.
Our trusted projections expect Drake London to accrue 8.3 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 90th percentile among wide receivers.
In regards to air yards, Drake London grades out in the towering 83rd percentile among WRs since the start of last season, averaging a massive 72.0 per game.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The Falcons are a 4-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Falcons to pass on 55.9% of their chances: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Drake London rates as one of the weakest wide receivers in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a measly 3.15 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 22nd percentile.
The Saints pass defense has conceded the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (59.5%) vs. wideouts since the start of last season (59.5%).
Since the start of last season, the fierce Saints defense has conceded the 8th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing WRs: a measly 7.6 yards.
Projection For Drake London Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Drake London is projected to have 67.8 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
