Deshaun Watson NFL Week 4 projections and prop bets for Cleveland Browns at Las Vegas Raiders on Sep 29, 2024
Deshaun Watson Player Prop Bet: Interceptions
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Interceptions 0.5 over: -123
- Interceptions 0.5 under: -111
Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet
Right now, the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (62.5% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Browns.
The model projects the Browns to call the 4th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The most plays in the league have been run by the Browns since the start of last season (a monstrous 63.6 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Las Vegas's collection of safeties has been dreadful since the start of last season, grading out as the worst in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet
Deshaun Watson has attempted just 25.0 throws per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 22nd percentile among quarterbacks.
Projection For Deshaun Watson Interceptions Prop Bet
Deshaun Watson is projected to have 0.9 Interceptions in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Deshaun Watson Player Prop Bet: Completions
Completions Prop Bet Odds:
- Completions 19.5 over: -110
- Completions 19.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Completions Prop Bet
Right now, the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (62.5% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Browns.
The model projects the Browns to call the 4th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The most plays in the league have been run by the Browns since the start of last season (a monstrous 63.6 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Since the start of last season, the anemic Las Vegas Raiders defense has surrendered a staggering 73.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 3rd-biggest rate in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Completions Prop Bet
Deshaun Watson has attempted just 25.0 throws per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 22nd percentile among quarterbacks.
Deshaun Watson's passing accuracy has tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 61.8% to 52.4%.
Projection For Deshaun Watson Completions Prop Bet
Deshaun Watson is projected to have 20.5 Completions in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Deshaun Watson Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Passing Yards 203.5 over: 100
- Passing Yards 203.5 under: -130
Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet
Right now, the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (62.5% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Browns.
The model projects the Browns to call the 4th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The most plays in the league have been run by the Browns since the start of last season (a monstrous 63.6 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Since the start of last season, the anemic Las Vegas Raiders defense has surrendered a staggering 73.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 3rd-biggest rate in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet
Deshaun Watson has attempted just 25.0 throws per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 22nd percentile among quarterbacks.
Deshaun Watson has been one of the worst QBs in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging 147.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 20th percentile.
Deshaun Watson's passing accuracy has tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 61.8% to 52.4%.
Deshaun Watson's 4.69 adjusted yards-per-target this year represents a material regression in his passing effectiveness over last year's 6.5% mark.
Projection For Deshaun Watson Passing Yards Prop Bet
Deshaun Watson is projected to have 237.4 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Deshaun Watson Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: 192
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -260
Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Right now, the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (62.5% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Browns.
The model projects the Browns to call the 4th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The most plays in the league have been run by the Browns since the start of last season (a monstrous 63.6 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Since the start of last season, the anemic Las Vegas Raiders defense has surrendered a staggering 73.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 3rd-biggest rate in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Deshaun Watson has attempted just 25.0 throws per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 22nd percentile among quarterbacks.
Deshaun Watson's passing accuracy has tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 61.8% to 52.4%.
Projection For Deshaun Watson Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Deshaun Watson is projected to have 1.4 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Deshaun Watson Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 22.5 over: -120
- Rushing Yards 22.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The model projects the Browns to call the 4th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The most plays in the league have been run by the Browns since the start of last season (a monstrous 63.6 per game on average).
In this contest, Deshaun Watson is projected by the model to earn the 10th-most carries out of all QBs with 5.0.
After comprising 13.0% of his team's carries last season, Deshaun Watson has had a larger role in the running game this season, currently taking on 19.0%.
With a remarkable tally of 23.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (80th percentile), Deshaun Watson ranks among the top running quarterbacks in football since the start of last season.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The projections expect the Cleveland Browns to be the 7th-least run-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 37.5% run rate.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Raiders defensive tackles rank as the 3rd-best DT corps in the NFL since the start of last season with their run defense.
Projection For Deshaun Watson Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Deshaun Watson is projected to have 23.5 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Deshaun Watson Player Prop Bet: Pass Attempts
Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:
- Pass Attempts 31.5 over: -130
- Pass Attempts 31.5 under: -100
Trends Favoring The Over Pass Attempts Prop Bet
Right now, the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (62.5% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Browns.
The model projects the Browns to call the 4th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The most plays in the league have been run by the Browns since the start of last season (a monstrous 63.6 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Trends Favoring The Under Pass Attempts Prop Bet
Deshaun Watson has attempted just 25.0 throws per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 22nd percentile among quarterbacks.
Projection For Deshaun Watson Pass Attempts Prop Bet
Deshaun Watson is projected to have 31.7 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Deshaun Watson Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 4.5 over: -152
- Carries 4.5 under: 117
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
The model projects the Browns to call the 4th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The most plays in the league have been run by the Browns since the start of last season (a monstrous 63.6 per game on average).
In this contest, Deshaun Watson is projected by the model to earn the 10th-most carries out of all QBs with 5.0.
After comprising 13.0% of his team's carries last season, Deshaun Watson has had a larger role in the running game this season, currently taking on 19.0%.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
The projections expect the Cleveland Browns to be the 7th-least run-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 37.5% run rate.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Raiders defensive tackles rank as the 3rd-best DT corps in the NFL since the start of last season with their run defense.
Projection For Deshaun Watson Carries Prop Bet
Deshaun Watson is projected to have 5 Carries in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
