Derrick Henry NFL Week 4 projections and prop bets for Buffalo Bills at Baltimore Ravens on Sep 29, 2024
Derrick Henry Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 7.5 over: 100
- Receiving Yards 7.5 under: -130
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The Ravens offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all pass game stats across the board.
With an exceptional 87.9% Adjusted Completion% (91st percentile) since the start of last season, Derrick Henry stands among the best possession receivers in the league when it comes to RBs.
Derrick Henry profiles as one of the leading running backs in football at grinding out extra yardage in the passing game, averaging a fantastic 11.21 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while ranking in the 91st percentile.
The Bills defense has conceded the 3rd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (41.0) vs. RBs since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, the feeble Buffalo Bills defense has been torched for the 4th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing running backs: a massive 6.76 yards.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
A rushing game script is implied by the Ravens being a 3-point favorite in this game.
The predictive model expects the Ravens as the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 48.0% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to see just 122.0 total plays run: the fewest on the slate this week.
Derrick Henry has put up a measly -4.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 6th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Projection For Derrick Henry Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Derrick Henry is projected to have 9 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Derrick Henry Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 69.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 69.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
A rushing game script is implied by the Ravens being a 3-point favorite in this game.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens to run on 52.0% of their plays: the greatest rate on the slate this week.
In this game, Derrick Henry is predicted by our trusted projection set to finish in the 94th percentile when it comes to RBs with 18.2 rush attempts.
Derrick Henry has generated 72.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the largest figures in the NFL when it comes to RBs (95th percentile).
The Bills defense owns the 8th-worst efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, yielding 4.62 adjusted yards-per-carry.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to see just 122.0 total plays run: the fewest on the slate this week.
After accounting for 65.7% of his team's rush attempts last year, Derrick Henry has been called on less the run game this year, currently accounting for just 55.6%.
Projection For Derrick Henry Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Derrick Henry is projected to have 70.2 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Derrick Henry Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 16.5 over: 104
- Carries 16.5 under: -136
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
A rushing game script is implied by the Ravens being a 3-point favorite in this game.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens to run on 52.0% of their plays: the greatest rate on the slate this week.
In this game, Derrick Henry is predicted by our trusted projection set to finish in the 94th percentile when it comes to RBs with 18.2 rush attempts.
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Buffalo's collection of DTs has been dreadful since the start of last season, projecting as the 10th-worst in the league. in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to see just 122.0 total plays run: the fewest on the slate this week.
After accounting for 65.7% of his team's rush attempts last year, Derrick Henry has been called on less the run game this year, currently accounting for just 55.6%.
Projection For Derrick Henry Carries Prop Bet
Derrick Henry is projected to have 16.6 Carries in this weeks game.
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