Derek Carr NFL Week 4 projections and prop bets for New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons on Sep 29, 2024
Derek Carr Player Prop Bet: Completions
Completions Prop Bet Odds:
- Completions 20.5 over: 104
- Completions 20.5 under: -136
Trends Favoring The Over Completions Prop Bet
This game's line indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -4-point underdogs.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see 129.7 total plays called: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.
The 9th-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Saints since the start of last season (a staggering 59.5 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
With an exceptional 67.8% Adjusted Completion% (87th percentile) since the start of last season, Derek Carr ranks as one of the most accurate quarterbacks in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Completions Prop Bet
At the present time, the 5th-least pass-oriented team in football (56.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Saints.
In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Saints grades out as the 4th-worst in football since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, the daunting Atlanta Falcons defense has surrendered a paltry 67.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 8th-lowest rate in football.
As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Atlanta's safety corps has been one of the most skilled since the start of last season, grading out as the 9th-best in football.
Projection For Derek Carr Completions Prop Bet
Derek Carr is projected to have 21.2 Completions in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Derek Carr Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: 123
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -169
Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
This game's line indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -4-point underdogs.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see 129.7 total plays called: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.
The 9th-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Saints since the start of last season (a staggering 59.5 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
With an exceptional 67.8% Adjusted Completion% (87th percentile) since the start of last season, Derek Carr ranks as one of the most accurate quarterbacks in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
At the moment, the 2nd-least pass-oriented team in the NFL in the red zone (45.6% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Saints.
In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Saints grades out as the 4th-worst in football since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, the daunting Atlanta Falcons defense has surrendered a paltry 67.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 8th-lowest rate in football.
As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Atlanta's safety corps has been one of the most skilled since the start of last season, grading out as the 9th-best in football.
Projection For Derek Carr Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Derek Carr is projected to have 1.1 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Derek Carr Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 1.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 1.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the New Orleans Saints to be the 5th-most run-focused offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 43.8% run rate.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see 129.7 total plays called: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.
The 9th-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Saints since the start of last season (a staggering 59.5 per game on average).
Opposing squads have run for the 9th-most adjusted yards in football (125 per game) versus the Falcons defense since the start of last season.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
This game's line indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -4-point underdogs.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The leading projections forecast Derek Carr to notch 1.5 rush attempts in this week's game, on average: the 5th-fewest among all quarterbacks.
Derek Carr is not much of a rushing QB and has accounted for just 3.9% of his team's run game usage this year, ranking him in the 22nd percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.
With a lousy tally of 4.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (10th percentile), Derek Carr places as one of the worst running quarterbacks in the NFL since the start of last season.
Projection For Derek Carr Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Derek Carr is projected to have 1.7 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Derek Carr Player Prop Bet: Pass Attempts
Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:
- Pass Attempts 29.5 over: -138
- Pass Attempts 29.5 under: 106
Trends Favoring The Over Pass Attempts Prop Bet
This game's line indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -4-point underdogs.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see 129.7 total plays called: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.
The 9th-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Saints since the start of last season (a staggering 59.5 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
In this game, Derek Carr is forecasted by the predictive model to have the 10th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 34.8.
Trends Favoring The Under Pass Attempts Prop Bet
At the present time, the 5th-least pass-oriented team in football (56.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Saints.
Projection For Derek Carr Pass Attempts Prop Bet
Derek Carr is projected to have 32.6 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Derek Carr Player Prop Bet: Interceptions
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Interceptions 0.5 over: -140
- Interceptions 0.5 under: 110
Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet
This game's line indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -4-point underdogs.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see 129.7 total plays called: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.
The 9th-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Saints since the start of last season (a staggering 59.5 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Atlanta's defense grades out as the 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season as it relates to causing interceptions, notching a measly 0.54 per game.
Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet
At the present time, the 5th-least pass-oriented team in football (56.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Saints.
In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Saints grades out as the 4th-worst in football since the start of last season.
As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Atlanta's safety corps has been one of the most skilled since the start of last season, grading out as the 9th-best in football.
Projection For Derek Carr Interceptions Prop Bet
Derek Carr is projected to have 1.4 Interceptions in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Derek Carr Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Passing Yards 219.5 over: -114
- Passing Yards 219.5 under: -114
Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet
This game's line indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -4-point underdogs.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see 129.7 total plays called: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.
The 9th-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Saints since the start of last season (a staggering 59.5 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
With an exceptional 67.8% Adjusted Completion% (87th percentile) since the start of last season, Derek Carr ranks as one of the most accurate quarterbacks in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet
At the present time, the 5th-least pass-oriented team in football (56.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Saints.
In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Saints grades out as the 4th-worst in football since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, the strong Falcons defense has given up a mere 200.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing QBs: the 6th-best in the NFL.
Since the start of last season, the daunting Atlanta Falcons defense has yielded the 3rd-least yards-after-the-catch in football to the opposing side: a measly 4.7 YAC.
As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Atlanta's safety corps has been one of the most skilled since the start of last season, grading out as the 9th-best in football.
Projection For Derek Carr Passing Yards Prop Bet
Derek Carr is projected to have 226.5 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Derek Carr Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 1.5 over: 100
- Carries 1.5 under: -130
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the New Orleans Saints to be the 5th-most run-focused offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 43.8% run rate.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see 129.7 total plays called: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.
The 9th-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Saints since the start of last season (a staggering 59.5 per game on average).
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
This game's line indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -4-point underdogs.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The leading projections forecast Derek Carr to notch 1.5 rush attempts in this week's game, on average: the 5th-fewest among all quarterbacks.
Derek Carr is not much of a rushing QB and has accounted for just 3.9% of his team's run game usage this year, ranking him in the 22nd percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.
The Atlanta Falcons defensive tackles rank as the 8th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.
Projection For Derek Carr Carries Prop Bet
Derek Carr is projected to have 1 Carries in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
