D.J. Moore NFL Week 4 projections and prop bets for Los Angeles Rams at Chicago Bears on Sep 29, 2024
D.J. Moore Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 59.5 over: -115
- Receiving Yards 59.5 under: -115
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the Chicago Bears to run the 3rd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The Bears have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 60.3 plays per game.
In this week's game, D.J. Moore is forecasted by the projections to place in the 83rd percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 7.3 targets.
When talking about air yards, D.J. Moore grades out in the towering 92nd percentile among WRs since the start of last season, averaging a massive 94.0 per game.
D.J. Moore checks in as one of the top wide receivers in the game since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 67.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 95th percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The model projects the Chicago Bears to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 55.9% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
D.J. Moore's 55.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 76.9.
The Bears O-line ranks as the 10th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all passing attack stats across the board.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has allowed the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (57.6%) to wide receivers since the start of last season (57.6%).
Since the start of last season, the tough Rams pass defense has conceded the 6th-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing WRs: a meager 3.9 YAC.
Projection For D.J. Moore Receiving Yards Prop Bet
D.J. Moore is projected to have 51.6 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
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