Courtland Sutton NFL Week 4 projections and prop bets for Denver Broncos at New York Jets on Sep 29, 2024
Courtland Sutton Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 44.5 over: -114
- Receiving Yards 44.5 under: -114
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Broncos, who are -6-point underdogs.
The Broncos have been the 5th-most pass-focused team in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year with a 65.6% pass rate.
In this game, Courtland Sutton is forecasted by the projections to find himself in the 85th percentile among wideouts with 7.5 targets.
When talking about air yards, Courtland Sutton grades out in the lofty 86th percentile among wideouts since the start of last season, accumulating a monstrous 81.0 per game.
Courtland Sutton ranks in the 90th percentile for wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) with an impressive 66.7 mark this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Given the game dynamics and traits of each team, the leading projections forecast this game (with an average of 27.17 seconds per play) will have the 11th-worst tempo out of all the games this week.
The Broncos have run the 5th-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a mere 55.5 plays per game.
Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the New York Jets, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.5 per game) since the start of last season.
Courtland Sutton's receiving reliability have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 68.4% to 37.0%.
Courtland Sutton's 4.4 adjusted yards per target this year shows an impressive reduction in his receiving skills over last year's 9.6 figure.
Projection For Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Courtland Sutton is projected to have 46.6 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Courtland Sutton Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 3.5 over: -140
- Receptions 3.5 under: 110
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Broncos, who are -6-point underdogs.
The Broncos have been the 5th-most pass-focused team in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year with a 65.6% pass rate.
In this game, Courtland Sutton is forecasted by the projections to find himself in the 85th percentile among wideouts with 7.5 targets.
Courtland Sutton ranks in the 90th percentile for wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) with an impressive 66.7 mark this year.
The Denver O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
Given the game dynamics and traits of each team, the leading projections forecast this game (with an average of 27.17 seconds per play) will have the 11th-worst tempo out of all the games this week.
The Broncos have run the 5th-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a mere 55.5 plays per game.
Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the New York Jets, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.5 per game) since the start of last season.
Courtland Sutton's receiving reliability have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 68.4% to 37.0%.
The Jets linebackers profile as the best unit in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.
Projection For Courtland Sutton Receptions Prop Bet
Courtland Sutton is projected to have 4 Receptions in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
