CeeDee Lamb NFL Week 4 projections and prop bets for Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants on Sep 26, 2024
CeeDee Lamb Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 6.5 over: -120
- Receptions 6.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The model projects the Cowboys to be the 5th-most pass-focused offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 63.1% pass rate.
The projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to run the 2nd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The 3rd-most plays in football have been run by the Dallas Cowboys since the start of last season (a staggering 60.6 per game on average).
The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may drop-off.
CeeDee Lamb ranks as one of the leading wide receivers in the game since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 6.9 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 99th percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
With a 4-point advantage, the Cowboys are favored this week, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their normal game plan.
Dallas's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially inflated (and running stats decreased) considering playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL. We figure to be able to expect some correction with windier weather in this week's game.
The Giants linebackers project as the 6th-best collection of LBs in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.
Projection For CeeDee Lamb Receptions Prop Bet
CeeDee Lamb is projected to have 6 Receptions in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
CeeDee Lamb Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 81.5 over: -125
- Receiving Yards 81.5 under: -105
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The model projects the Cowboys to be the 5th-most pass-focused offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 63.1% pass rate.
The projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to run the 2nd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The 3rd-most plays in football have been run by the Dallas Cowboys since the start of last season (a staggering 60.6 per game on average).
CeeDee Lamb comes in as one of the leading WRs in the league since the start of last season, averaging a fantastic 89.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 99th percentile.
Since the start of last season, the feeble Giants defense has surrendered a monstrous 157.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wideouts: the 9th-most in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
With a 4-point advantage, the Cowboys are favored this week, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their normal game plan.
Dallas's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially inflated (and running stats decreased) considering playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL. We figure to be able to expect some correction with windier weather in this week's game.
The Giants linebackers project as the 6th-best collection of LBs in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.
Projection For CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards Prop Bet
CeeDee Lamb is projected to have 70.8 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
