Breece Hall NFL Week 4 projections and prop bets for Denver Broncos at New York Jets on Sep 29, 2024
Breece Hall Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 66.5 over: -125
- Rushing Yards 66.5 under: -105
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
With a 6-point advantage, the Jets are favored in this game, implying more of a reliance on running than their normal approach.
In this week's game, Breece Hall is forecasted by the predictive model to place in the 81st percentile among running backs with 15.0 rush attempts.
Breece Hall has received 62.1% of his team's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to running backs.
With a fantastic rate of 57.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (84th percentile), Breece Hall places as one of the leading pure rushers in the NFL since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, the formidable Broncos run defense has given up a mere 5.07 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing squads: the 32nd-smallest rate in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The projections expect the Jets to be the 4th-least run-focused offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 36.8% run rate.
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the New York Jets are predicted by the predictive model to call just 62.3 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.
New York's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially reduced (and running stats inflated) on account of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We figure to be able to count on some correction with better weather in this game.
Breece Hall's running efficiency has tailed off this year, totaling a mere 3.57 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 4.39 rate last year.
Projection For Breece Hall Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Breece Hall is projected to have 62.5 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Breece Hall Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 15.5 over: -120
- Carries 15.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
With a 6-point advantage, the Jets are favored in this game, implying more of a reliance on running than their normal approach.
In this week's game, Breece Hall is forecasted by the predictive model to place in the 81st percentile among running backs with 15.0 rush attempts.
Breece Hall has received 62.1% of his team's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to running backs.
The Denver Broncos defensive ends project as the worst group of DEs in football since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
The projections expect the Jets to be the 4th-least run-focused offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 36.8% run rate.
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the New York Jets are predicted by the predictive model to call just 62.3 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.
New York's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially reduced (and running stats inflated) on account of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We figure to be able to count on some correction with better weather in this game.
Projection For Breece Hall Carries Prop Bet
Breece Hall is projected to have 14.4 Carries in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Breece Hall Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 4.5 over: 117
- Receptions 4.5 under: -152
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
At the moment, the 4th-most pass-centric team in football (63.2% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Jets.
New York's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially reduced (and running stats inflated) on account of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We figure to be able to count on some correction with better weather in this game.
The predictive model expects Breece Hall to total 6.0 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 99th percentile among running backs.
Breece Hall has been heavily involved in his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 17.4% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 98th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Breece Hall grades out as one of the top pass-game RBs since the start of last season, averaging an exceptional 4.1 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 98th percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
With a 6-point advantage, the Jets are favored in this game, implying more of a reliance on running than their normal approach.
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the New York Jets are predicted by the predictive model to call just 62.3 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.
In regards to pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Jets ranks as the 2nd-worst in football since the start of last season.
The Broncos safeties rank as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in defending receivers.
Projection For Breece Hall Receptions Prop Bet
Breece Hall is projected to have 4.3 Receptions in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Breece Hall Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 27.5 over: -109
- Receiving Yards 27.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
At the moment, the 4th-most pass-centric team in football (63.2% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Jets.
New York's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially reduced (and running stats inflated) on account of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We figure to be able to count on some correction with better weather in this game.
The predictive model expects Breece Hall to total 6.0 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 99th percentile among running backs.
Breece Hall has been heavily involved in his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 17.4% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 98th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Breece Hall has been responsible for a monstrous 4.1% of his team's air yards this year: 95th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
With a 6-point advantage, the Jets are favored in this game, implying more of a reliance on running than their normal approach.
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the New York Jets are predicted by the predictive model to call just 62.3 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.
In regards to pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Jets ranks as the 2nd-worst in football since the start of last season.
With a weak 6.4 adjusted yards per target (22nd percentile) this year, Breece Hall has been as one of the bottom running backs in the pass game in the NFL.
The Broncos pass defense has shown good efficiency versus RBs since the start of last season, allowing 5.42 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-fewest in the league.
Projection For Breece Hall Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Breece Hall is projected to have 35.2 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
