Brandon Aiyuk NFL Week 4 projections and prop bets for New England Patriots at San Francisco 49ers on Sep 29, 2024
Brandon Aiyuk Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 64.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 64.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Opposing teams have averaged 35.1 pass attempts per game versus the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in football.
Our trusted projections expect Brandon Aiyuk to total 8.9 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile among WRs.
While Brandon Aiyuk has received 20.2% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a much bigger part of San Francisco's offense in this week's contest at 31.0%.
When it comes to air yards, Brandon Aiyuk ranks in the lofty 90th percentile among WRs since the start of last season, totaling a massive 91.0 per game.
With a remarkable 70.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (95th percentile) since the start of last season, Brandon Aiyuk has been among the top pass-catching wide receivers in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
An extreme running game script is implied by the 49ers being a huge 11.5-point favorite in this game.
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 53.1% of their downs: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects the 49ers to run the 2nd-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 60.4 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The 49ers have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 55.0 plays per game.
The San Francisco offensive line profiles as the 6th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all passing game statistics across the board.
Projection For Brandon Aiyuk Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Brandon Aiyuk is projected to have 85.1 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
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