Bijan Robinson projections and prop bets for Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Oct 27, 2024
Bijan Robinson Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 69.5 over: 125
- Rushing Yards 69.5 under: -160
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see 132.5 total plays run: the most among all games this week.
This week, Bijan Robinson is expected by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 92nd percentile when it comes to running backs with 17.5 carries.
After making up 41.7% of his offense's rushing play calls last season, Bijan Robinson has played a bigger part in the ground game this season, currently comprising 64.2%.
Bijan Robinson's 62.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season reflects a substantial boost in his running ability over last season's 50.0 rate.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has produced the 4th-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, yielding 5.43 adjusted yards-per-carry.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Projection For Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Bijan Robinson is projected to have 74.5 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Bijan Robinson Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 22.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 22.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see 132.5 total plays run: the most among all games this week.
Opposing teams have averaged 39.9 pass attempts per game against the Buccaneers defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
The model projects Bijan Robinson to accrue 4.2 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to running backs.
With a fantastic 28.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (90th percentile) this year, Bijan Robinson has been as one of the top pass-catching running backs in the NFL.
Bijan Robinson's sure-handedness have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 69.8% to 89.2%.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
After accruing 1.0 air yards per game last year, Bijan Robinson has fallen off this year, currently sitting at -10.0 per game.
Bijan Robinson's 15.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 24.9.
In regards to pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Falcons grades out as the 9th-worst in football this year.
Projection For Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Bijan Robinson is projected to have 22.3 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Bijan Robinson Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 3.5 over: 105
- Receptions 3.5 under: -135
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see 132.5 total plays run: the most among all games this week.
Opposing teams have averaged 39.9 pass attempts per game against the Buccaneers defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
The model projects Bijan Robinson to accrue 4.2 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to running backs.
Bijan Robinson is positioned as one of the best RB receiving threats this year, averaging an impressive 3.4 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 94th percentile.
Bijan Robinson's sure-handedness have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 69.8% to 89.2%.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
Bijan Robinson's 15.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 24.9.
In regards to pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Falcons grades out as the 9th-worst in football this year.
Projection For Bijan Robinson Receptions Prop Bet
Bijan Robinson is projected to have 3 Receptions in this weeks game.
