Bijan Robinson NFL Week 4 projections and prop bets for New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons on Sep 29, 2024
Bijan Robinson Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 71.5 over: -130
- Rushing Yards 71.5 under: 100
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The Falcons are a 4-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
The leading projections forecast the Falcons to be the 9th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 44.1% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.7 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
In this week's contest, Bijan Robinson is predicted by the projection model to rank in the 93rd percentile among RBs with 18.0 rush attempts.
With an excellent tally of 51.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (77th percentile), Bijan Robinson places as one of the top pure runners in the league since the start of last season.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.
Projection For Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Bijan Robinson is projected to have 73.4 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Bijan Robinson Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 28.5 over: -114
- Receiving Yards 28.5 under: -114
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.7 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.
Bijan Robinson has run a route on 69.1% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 98th percentile among RBs.
In this week's game, Bijan Robinson is predicted by the projections to position himself in the 98th percentile among RBs with 5.3 targets.
With an outstanding 25.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (95th percentile) since the start of last season, Bijan Robinson places among the top pass-catching RBs in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The Falcons are a 4-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Falcons to pass on 55.9% of their chances: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
In divvying up his offense's air yards this year, Bijan Robinson has only garned a puny -5.8%, ranking him in the 18th percentile among RBs.
Since the start of last season, the formidable Saints defense has allowed a puny 22.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing RBs: the 2nd-best in the NFL.
Since the start of last season, the formidable Saints defense has surrendered a puny 73.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 2nd-best rate in the NFL.
Projection For Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Bijan Robinson is projected to have 26.8 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Bijan Robinson Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 16.5 over: -128
- Carries 16.5 under: -102
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
The Falcons are a 4-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
The leading projections forecast the Falcons to be the 9th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 44.1% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.7 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
In this week's contest, Bijan Robinson is predicted by the projection model to rank in the 93rd percentile among RBs with 18.0 rush attempts.
Bijan Robinson has been a more integral piece of his team's ground game this season (66.7% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (41.7%).
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.
Projection For Bijan Robinson Carries Prop Bet
Bijan Robinson is projected to have 16.5 Carries in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Bijan Robinson Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 3.5 over: -165
- Receptions 3.5 under: 125
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.7 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.
Bijan Robinson has run a route on 69.1% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 98th percentile among RBs.
In this week's game, Bijan Robinson is predicted by the projections to position himself in the 98th percentile among RBs with 5.3 targets.
With an excellent 3.1 adjusted catches per game (94th percentile) since the start of last season, Bijan Robinson ranks as one of the leading pass-game RBs in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
The Falcons are a 4-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Falcons to pass on 55.9% of their chances: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Since the start of last season, the formidable Saints defense has surrendered a puny 73.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 2nd-best rate in the NFL.
As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, New Orleans's LB corps has been great since the start of last season, projecting as the 7th-best in the NFL.
Projection For Bijan Robinson Receptions Prop Bet
Bijan Robinson is projected to have 3.4 Receptions in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
