Baker Mayfield NFL Week 4 projections and prop bets for Philadelphia Eagles at Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sep 29, 2024
Baker Mayfield Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: 115
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -145
Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
The projections expect the Buccaneers to be the 10th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 62.0% pass rate.
The Eagles defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, inducing opposing offenses to attempt the 3rd-most passes in football (37.0 per game) since the start of last season.
With a remarkable rate of 1.70 per game (85th percentile), Baker Mayfield ranks as one of the top touchdown passers in football since the start of last season.
The Eagles defense has been torched for the 2nd-most passing TDs in the NFL: 2.00 per game since the start of last season.
Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
The model projects the Buccaneers offense to be the 5th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.43 seconds per snap.
Since the start of last season, the formidable Eagles defense has allowed a meager 68.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 10th-best rate in the league.
The Philadelphia Eagles safeties rank as the 7th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.
Projection For Baker Mayfield Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Baker Mayfield is projected to have 1.4 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
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Baker Mayfield Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 12.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 12.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Baker Mayfield's 7.27 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year conveys a material boost in his running ability over last year's 4.16 mark.
With an exceptional rate of 5.14 yards-after-contact (97th percentile), Baker Mayfield stands among the best rushing quarterbacks in the NFL this year.
As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, Philadelphia's collection of safeties has been easily exploitable since the start of last season, profiling as the worst in the league. in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to run on 40.6% of their downs: the 11th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
The model projects the Buccaneers offense to be the 5th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.43 seconds per snap.
Projection For Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Baker Mayfield is projected to have 14.6 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
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Baker Mayfield Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Passing Yards 230.5 over: -127
- Passing Yards 230.5 under: -108
Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet
The projections expect the Buccaneers to be the 10th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 62.0% pass rate.
The Eagles defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, inducing opposing offenses to attempt the 3rd-most passes in football (37.0 per game) since the start of last season.
Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the 4th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (248.0 per game) vs. the Eagles defense since the start of last season.
Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet
The model projects the Buccaneers offense to be the 5th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.43 seconds per snap.
Since the start of last season, the formidable Eagles defense has allowed a meager 68.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 10th-best rate in the league.
The Philadelphia Eagles safeties rank as the 7th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.
Projection For Baker Mayfield Passing Yards Prop Bet
Baker Mayfield is projected to have 230.5 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Baker Mayfield Player Prop Bet: Interceptions
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Interceptions 0.5 over: -125
- Interceptions 0.5 under: -105
Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet
The projections expect the Buccaneers to be the 10th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 62.0% pass rate.
The Eagles defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, inducing opposing offenses to attempt the 3rd-most passes in football (37.0 per game) since the start of last season.
The Eagles have intercepted 0.55 passes per game since the start of last season, ranking as the 7th-worst defense in the NFL by this statistic
Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet
The model projects the Buccaneers offense to be the 5th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.43 seconds per snap.
The Philadelphia Eagles safeties rank as the 7th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.
Projection For Baker Mayfield Interceptions Prop Bet
Baker Mayfield is projected to have 0.9 Interceptions in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
