Anthony Richardson projections and prop bets for Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts on Oct 20, 2024
Anthony Richardson Player Prop Bet: Interceptions
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Interceptions 0.5 over: -143
- Interceptions 0.5 under: 110
Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet
The model projects the Colts to call the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.6 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
The Indianapolis O-line profiles as the best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
Anthony Richardson has averaged 1.57 interceptions per game this year, checking in at the 5th percentile among QBs.
The Dolphins linebackers profile as the 5th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in defending receivers.
Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet
This game's spread implies a running game script for the Colts, who are favored by 3 points.
The model projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 61.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Colts have run the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.0 plays per game.
Our trusted projections expect Anthony Richardson to throw 32.5 passes in this contest, on average: the 11th-fewest out of all QBs.
Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Dolphins, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 28.4 per game) this year.
Projection For Anthony Richardson Interceptions Prop Bet
Anthony Richardson is projected to have 0.4 Interceptions in this weeks game.
Anthony Richardson Player Prop Bet: Pass Attempts
Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:
- Pass Attempts 26.5 over: -110
- Pass Attempts 26.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Pass Attempts Prop Bet
The model projects the Colts to call the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.6 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
Trends Favoring The Under Pass Attempts Prop Bet
This game's spread implies a running game script for the Colts, who are favored by 3 points.
The model projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 61.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Colts have run the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.0 plays per game.
Our trusted projections expect Anthony Richardson to throw 32.5 passes in this contest, on average: the 11th-fewest out of all QBs.
Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Dolphins, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 28.4 per game) this year.
Projection For Anthony Richardson Pass Attempts Prop Bet
Anthony Richardson is projected to have 30.1 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.
Anthony Richardson Player Prop Bet: Completions
Completions Prop Bet Odds:
- Completions 16.5 over: 110
- Completions 16.5 under: -145
Trends Favoring The Over Completions Prop Bet
The model projects the Colts to call the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.6 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
The Indianapolis O-line profiles as the best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
Since the start of last season, the anemic Miami Dolphins defense has given up a massive 72.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 8th-highest rate in the NFL.
The Dolphins linebackers profile as the 5th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in defending receivers.
Trends Favoring The Under Completions Prop Bet
This game's spread implies a running game script for the Colts, who are favored by 3 points.
The model projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 61.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Colts have run the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.0 plays per game.
Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Dolphins, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 28.4 per game) this year.
Anthony Richardson's throwing accuracy has declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 57.3% to 48.9%.
Projection For Anthony Richardson Completions Prop Bet
Anthony Richardson is projected to have 19.5 Completions in this weeks game.
Anthony Richardson Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 34.5 over: -100
- Rushing Yards 34.5 under: -130
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
This game's spread implies a running game script for the Colts, who are favored by 3 points.
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Colts to run on 38.9% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
The model projects the Colts to call the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.6 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
In this game, Anthony Richardson is expected by our trusted projection set to accrue the 6th-most rush attempts out of all quarterbacks with 7.1.
Anthony Richardson has grinded out 38.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the largest figures in the NFL when it comes to quarterbacks (86th percentile).
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The Colts have run the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.0 plays per game.
The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
Projection For Anthony Richardson Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Anthony Richardson is projected to have 29.3 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Anthony Richardson Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Passing Yards 199.5 over: 100
- Passing Yards 199.5 under: -129
Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet
The model projects the Colts to call the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.6 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
The Indianapolis O-line profiles as the best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
Since the start of last season, the anemic Miami Dolphins defense has given up a massive 72.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 8th-highest rate in the NFL.
The Dolphins linebackers profile as the 5th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in defending receivers.
Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet
This game's spread implies a running game script for the Colts, who are favored by 3 points.
The model projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 61.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Colts have run the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.0 plays per game.
Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Dolphins, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 28.4 per game) this year.
With a very bad total of 131.0 adjusted passing yards per game (18th percentile), Anthony Richardson has been among the bottom passers in football this year.
Projection For Anthony Richardson Passing Yards Prop Bet
Anthony Richardson is projected to have 215.7 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
Anthony Richardson Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 6.5 over: -108
- Carries 6.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
This game's spread implies a running game script for the Colts, who are favored by 3 points.
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Colts to run on 38.9% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
The model projects the Colts to call the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.6 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
In this game, Anthony Richardson is expected by our trusted projection set to accrue the 6th-most rush attempts out of all quarterbacks with 7.1.
While Anthony Richardson has received 17.8% of his offense's run game usage in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more important option in Indianapolis's run game in this week's game at 23.3%.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
The Colts have run the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.0 plays per game.
The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
Projection For Anthony Richardson Carries Prop Bet
Anthony Richardson is projected to have 6.9 Carries in this weeks game.
Anthony Richardson Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: 210
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -270
Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
The model projects the Colts to call the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.6 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
The Indianapolis O-line profiles as the best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
Since the start of last season, the anemic Miami Dolphins defense has given up a massive 72.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 8th-highest rate in the NFL.
The Dolphins linebackers profile as the 5th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in defending receivers.
Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
This game's spread implies a running game script for the Colts, who are favored by 3 points.
The model projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 61.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the Colts to be the 2nd-least pass-centric team in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 48.6% red zone pass rate.
Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Dolphins, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 28.4 per game) this year.
Anthony Richardson's throwing accuracy has declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 57.3% to 48.9%.
Projection For Anthony Richardson Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Anthony Richardson is projected to have 1.3 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
