Alvin Kamara NFL Week 4 projections and prop bets for New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons on Sep 29, 2024
Alvin Kamara Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 27.5 over: -115
- Receiving Yards 27.5 under: -115
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
This game's line indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -4-point underdogs.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see 129.7 total plays called: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.
The 9th-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Saints since the start of last season (a staggering 59.5 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
In this game, Alvin Kamara is forecasted by the projection model to position himself in the 100th percentile among running backs with 6.3 targets.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
At the present time, the 5th-least pass-oriented team in football (56.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Saints.
In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Saints grades out as the 4th-worst in football since the start of last season.
Alvin Kamara's receiving effectiveness has tailed off this year, compiling just 0.00 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 5.52 mark last year.
The Falcons defense has conceded the 9th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 28.0) versus RBs since the start of last season.
As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Atlanta's safety corps has been one of the most skilled since the start of last season, grading out as the 9th-best in football.
Projection For Alvin Kamara Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Alvin Kamara is projected to have 33.1 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Alvin Kamara Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 3.5 over: -175
- Receptions 3.5 under: 135
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
This game's line indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -4-point underdogs.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see 129.7 total plays called: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.
The 9th-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Saints since the start of last season (a staggering 59.5 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
With an impressive 5.0 adjusted catches per game (100th percentile) since the start of last season, Alvin Kamara places among the top RBs in the pass game in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
At the present time, the 5th-least pass-oriented team in football (56.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Saints.
In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Saints grades out as the 4th-worst in football since the start of last season.
As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Atlanta's safety corps has been one of the most skilled since the start of last season, grading out as the 9th-best in football.
Projection For Alvin Kamara Receptions Prop Bet
Alvin Kamara is projected to have 4.4 Receptions in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Alvin Kamara Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 67.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 67.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the New Orleans Saints to be the 5th-most run-focused offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 43.8% run rate.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see 129.7 total plays called: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.
The 9th-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Saints since the start of last season (a staggering 59.5 per game on average).
Alvin Kamara has generated 65.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the biggest marks in the NFL when it comes to RBs (89th percentile).
Opposing squads have run for the 9th-most adjusted yards in football (125 per game) versus the Falcons defense since the start of last season.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
This game's line indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -4-point underdogs.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Atlanta Falcons defensive tackles rank as the 8th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.
Projection For Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Alvin Kamara is projected to have 64.8 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Alvin Kamara Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 16.5 over: -110
- Carries 16.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the New Orleans Saints to be the 5th-most run-focused offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 43.8% run rate.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see 129.7 total plays called: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.
The 9th-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Saints since the start of last season (a staggering 59.5 per game on average).
The model projects Alvin Kamara to accrue 20.8 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 98th percentile when it comes to running backs.
After making up 53.6% of his offense's carries last year, Alvin Kamara has had a larger role in the ground game this year, now sitting at 72.4%.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
This game's line indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -4-point underdogs.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Atlanta Falcons defensive tackles rank as the 8th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.
Projection For Alvin Kamara Carries Prop Bet
Alvin Kamara is projected to have 15.9 Carries in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
